White Sox GM Kenny Williams: I read SSS and so should you
Kenny, Detroit got Miguel Cabrera and Dontrelle Willis and got better:
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You know what, Kenny is right.
Who Knows?
Plus can Linebrink be any worse than what our middle relievers did this past season.
At one point we are going to have to come up with some youngsters that step it up.
If Ramirez isn't a fall back
SI ranks Sox' rotation 3rd from last in AL
What do you think?
I don't put a lot of stock into it
There are more than a few comps that don't make sense unless he is going by his "gut" feeling. Whatever.
Perhaps his funniest line
I agree -- some rankings are inconsistent
The Kazmir vs Buehrle and JV vs. Shields ranking are especially odd in that the guy isn't going just on numbers but then isn't going just on "stuff" either as he favors the power pitcher over the finesse guy on one hand and then reverses that with JV & Shields.
by hitlesswonder on Dec 23, 2007 9:32 PM CST up reply actions
I really don't know what to think of 3-4-5
Looking at the other staffs though I see a lot of question marks on quite a few teams. Those teams will probable score more runs though so its not as overblown.
lol.. portrayed not betrayed
"Just when I thought I was off the site, they pull me back in...."
Spot on
by hitlesswonder on Dec 23, 2007 8:39 PM CST up reply actions
Hey thanks...
I admit,reading it now, 6.00 ERAs is harsh. So how about this:
Vazquez, Buehrle: 4.00 - 4.5 ERAS
JC, Danks, FLoyd: 5.5 ERAS
I think that's not a crazy pessimistic assessment. And that's not a good starting rotation. Two above average starters and 3 below average starters.
Of course, everything is probability. Maybe Danks learns a cutter and posts a 4.00 ERA. Maybe Floyd figures out what the hell is wrong with his curve and does the same. Maybe Jose stops dropping down...I just don't know how likely any of those things is. I hope they all happen, because it would make the season much more interesting. But if someone ranks the Sox third from last in rotation strength right now, I'm not going to argue.
by hitlesswonder on Dec 23, 2007 9:16 PM CST up reply actions
Really?
by hitlesswonder on Dec 23, 2007 10:59 PM CST up reply actions
from BTF anyway:
Starter - 4.71
Reliever - 4.31
So yeah, you're pretty much right on.
That's league average
Hitless
by Soulja Boy on Dec 24, 2007 12:38 PM CST up reply actions
dude, check that
on the other hand, you could probably use an mlb tv account to go through his sept starts and show that coop's mechanics changes helped his curve significantly. his early starts though, where he was throwing a bad curve, a hittable fastball and had neither the slider nor the change, should really be no wonder. he had nothing to get outs with.
esp in spring training
by Soulja Boy on Dec 24, 2007 1:39 PM CST up reply actions
The algorithm does grouping
Huh
by Soulja Boy on Dec 24, 2007 1:51 PM CST up reply actions
Larry
by Soulja Boy on Dec 24, 2007 2:09 PM CST up reply actions
re
LOL! Priceless!
And here I thought I was overly
So just so I understand
For me, it comes down to
I would rank a lot of teams rotations as better than the Sox since their big dropoff doesn't occur until you get to the #4 or #5 guys.
On the plus side, I do think the Sox bullpen and offense will better than last season. So I'm predicting decline across the board for the Sox.
by hitlesswonder on Dec 23, 2007 9:44 PM CST up reply actions
NOT predicting decline across the board
by hitlesswonder on Dec 23, 2007 9:46 PM CST up reply actions
I really need to do that Floyd diary
But as for Vazquez. His career ERA is a 4.28, so expecting a 4.25 in his age 31 season isn't bizarre, but I'd argue to expect better. He posted the best k/bb ratio of his career and matched a career high in k rate. His bb/9 was better than his career line. His HR rate wasn't ridiculous at all, especially for the Cell. And he solved that weird thing where he randomly imploded, making his still very good peripherals somewhat nullified. And Buehrle's only posted one season with an ERA of 4.25 or worse. Both are good bets to beat your projection.
As for Danks and Contreras, I offer nothing, since I can find nothing especially telling one way or the other. I will say, for his first season in the majors, his K and BB rates were really nice. His change is pretty devastating. But his HR rates were horrible. Plus he's a lefty, so I have no grip on his mechanics whatsoever, nor really the movement on his pitches. Thanks, stupid camera angle! Baseball camera work is the laziest of all sports. Anyway, unless that HR rate drops from 3rd worst amongst pitchers who threw at least 75 inn. Of the first 30 on that list, btw, none are better than average, at least at a glance. And Contreras either needs to find his fastball or learn to pitch without one. I don't like his chances, but I won't pretend to know what he'll do. 5.50 isn't a bad guess though.
So I think we'll have 3 above average pitchers and 2 really shitty ones. But whatever, we've got Gio and Egbert and one of them can be competent.
Yours could easily be right though.
Well, not stupid
It's annoying though. Why not just take a good stat that already exists? I just feel like I could have come up with a better list really easily.
"The most weight was given to the 2007 season, but a three-year period was studied. Players were ranked in part by using such stats as ERA+, K/9, BB/9, H/9, HR/9, scouting reports and health history. Again, the ranking system isn't as much about precision then it is about providing an overview of the quality and depth of a team's starting rotation. (Thanks again to the online community that assisted with the research; a multitude of opinions can only help.)"
I mean doesn't that sound like a contradiction? It sounds pretty exhaustively done, but he doesn't care about precision? Why gather so much data then?
Pitching Problems
Lets see Kazmir is elite but Buerhle isnt? Jamie Shields ranks higher then Vasquez?
Yes, and yes. To prove this in your head, imagine the trade: "Rays offer Kazmir and Shields for Buerhle and Vazquez." The Sox FO would be tripping over itself to return that phone call, and well they should! Conversely, the Rays would be insane to make such an offer.
So yes, Kazmir and Shields would make the team better than Buerhle and Vazquez do. It's true right now, and it'll be more true in the future.
by scoutingbook on Dec 23, 2007 10:25 PM CST reply actions
Not So, I'm afraid...
The answer would be a resounding "NO! Absolutely not."
With their contracts figured into the equation, Kazmir and Shields > Buehrle and Vazquez. In a vacuum, however, and that's how this article was written, durable and effective pitchers like Vazquez and Buehrle with a history of dominance are worth more than the short effective career so far of a guy like Shields and the injury risk of a guy like Kazmir.
Come now, I shouldn't have to explain this to you. For the league minimum in 2008, the better bet of these two sets of pitchers is Buehrle and Vazquez.
by Stealfirstbase on Dec 23, 2007 11:54 PM CST up reply actions
Kazmir is through the injury nexus
No -- that'd be a terrible way to compare them
Don't get me wrong -- there's an argument to be made to support rather having Shields and Kazmir for next year, but it ain't getting done through your method.
Scouting book
The numbers are the numbers. Which by the way are backed for SEVERAL years for the Sox duo. I really don't think this is arguable in the context of the article.
I know this isn't a football board but...
"Certainly with the wind, it was cold, but I have a beard so that helps out a little bit. It's kind of warm in this area," Orton said. As always with Orton, there is a method to his madness.
Source: Chicago Sun Times
your 670 the score moment of the day
whoever was hosting for north today was talking sox baseball. and one of the hosts asked the other if he was happy with an outfield of dye, ramirez, and quentin. now, a sane person would say, "no, i'm not happy, but that's the best we got right now" - or something similar. but, no, this guy had to take it to another level and said "my outfield would be dye, ramirez, and owens." and then went on to opine that there should have been no question that the sox re-upped dye and it should have been done long before it was.
That was probably a poster from WSI...
true.
He probably wonders if Skinner is ready to take over for Fisk.
Bulls fire Scott Skiles...
Wow, now that's a surprise.
Agreed...
But. Skiles coaching style worked spectacularly when it was a team of 1-3 year players. But as they acquired more veterans and those rookie players are now 5+ seasons in the league I don't think the style meshed well. I'm glad Pax had the stones to fire a coach that wasn't getting it done this year but took his Bulls to the playoffs the previously couple years.
Interesting move and I wonder who they will hire to replace.
Remember Billy Reay?
Merry Christmas.
ho.ho.ho
by Air Raid Siren Stan on Dec 24, 2007 12:00 PM CST up reply actions
ROFL
by Soulja Boy on Dec 24, 2007 1:13 PM CST up reply actions
Fall guy
by hitlesswonder on Dec 24, 2007 12:31 PM CST up reply actions
Agreed
by Soulja Boy on Dec 24, 2007 1:22 PM CST up reply actions
If that killed the team in the first place...
Just showing
by Soulja Boy on Dec 24, 2007 1:43 PM CST up reply actions
We obtained Khryapa
But more defensive/rebounding big men with no low post scoring ability is exactly what this current roster does not need. This is grossly apparent when Aaron Gray who is decent around the basket at scoring is able to open up the Bulls offense when jumpshots are not falling.
Chandler was not going to do anything more here in Chicago and that albatross of a contract was weighing the team down.
yeesh
Wiz, you know I love ya,
Grab a chiqua and have some holiday cheer, my man!
I saw
Thome's 2009 option
Big Jim's option will be picked up automatically though if he has a certain amount of at bats, yes?
Who says Ozzie overmanages?
"This Is Modern Managing Dept.: In an Aug. 21 game against the Royals, hyperactive White Sox magician Ozzie Guillen used five different pitchers -- in a span of five pitches. We kid you not. Ehren Wassermann got a fly-ball out. Mike Myers gave up a single on the next pitch. Ryan Bukvich allowed a single on the next pitch. Matt Thornton got a double play on the next pitch. Bobby Jenks started the next inning with pitch No. 5."
At least Myers and Bukvich were true to form.
Merry Christmas!

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