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[False] Report: Jermaine Dye to Reds for Homer Bailey

With baseball's annual winter meetings unfurling this week at the Bellagio in Las Vegas, rumors run rampant.

A noteworthy one involving the Cincinnati Reds is making the rounds — pitcher Homer Bailey for Chicago White Sox outfielder Jermaine Dye.

A major-league source close to the situation told The Dayton Daily News on Sunday, Dec. 7, "The deal is done and will be announced this week."

Update by The Cheat, 12/07/08 9:40 PM CST]: Both the White Sox (via Chicago Tribune) and Reds (via Cinci Enquirer) deny the report.

Link 6 months ago Craig_grebeck_autograph_tiny Craig Grebeck Comment 199 comments 0 recs |

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is he seriously all we could get?

i know he was the cat’s pajama’s not too long ago and could be our next Gavin Floyd, but really? we couldn’t steal anything else?

sit*

by U-God on Dec 7, 2008 7:54 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

He could be very good

I think this is one of the things that Kenny is best at. Recognizing that too often teams begin to undervalue their own young talent after early struggles at the big league level. Bailey was always young and excellent in the minors up until this season. And this year he actually lowered his BB/9 which is what is holding him back the most right now. A potential rotation of Danks, Floyd, Buehrle, Bailey, and Poreda sounds pretty good to me moving forward. Also, we’ll see if Dye is even going to be worth his salary in production next season when his defense and baserunning are factored into the equation.

by bberdl20 on Dec 7, 2008 7:59 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

well, there's a few good corner outfielder FAs, so

the it’s more of a question of sign dunn or burrell or someone(bradley, abreu) to a deal for a few years, or trade for dye for a year, maybe 2 and give up a cost-controlled young pitcher for the next 5 years.

Cashing checks and having sex.

by MarketMaker on Dec 7, 2008 8:10 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I don't see the Sox signing any big-name OF

Maybe the sign some vet to a one year deal or something, but the whole goal of this offseason is to shed salary. They aren’t going to sign someone to contract heavier than Dye whom they just moved.

by hitlesswonder on Dec 7, 2008 8:13 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

maybe they just really liked Bailey

which is feasible considering his pedigree. This seems like a typical Kenny pickup, although, unlike other times, he’s giving up a major league veteran.

by Daniel Berlyn on Dec 7, 2008 8:17 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I'm sure they do like Bailey

But just about every movable contract on the Sox has been moved for prospects at this point. It seems clear that shedding payroll is a goal here.

by hitlesswonder on Dec 7, 2008 8:18 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

when your roster ages, you start overpaying for wins.

some thought this was going to come after ’06. many thought this was going to come after ’07 and very few that KW could afford another time around the circuit on this dying horse. when the cost per win becomes large and the odds you make the playoffs dim, the idea of a sell off makes a lot of sense.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:24 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I'm not annoyed by selling off older talent or even constricting the payroll

If such constriction is necessary.

I’m just not wowed by the guys Williams is acquiring. Obviously, rationally, he and the Sox scouts know way more than I do. But looking at the numbers and reading reports on the web I don’t see much to like outside of maybe Flowers so far. So I’m exercising my right as an irrational fan to be disappointed.

by hitlesswonder on Dec 7, 2008 8:33 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Who would be next though?

Jenks and Dotel are probably movable any carry some salary. Buehrle is tradable. I think that’s it.

Outside that Konerko and Thome are untradeable. AJ cannot be replaced easily. Jose is a sunk cost.

by hitlesswonder on Dec 7, 2008 8:59 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

wow, no-one foresaw this!

though there’s no press release yet!

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 8:03 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

no reason to stop us from speculating!

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 8:07 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

oh, totally.

it just seems odd that it broke in this fashion. lucky for us, sickels posted his reds top 20 this weekend.

by Craig Grebeck on Dec 7, 2008 8:10 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

And since Bailey isn't a prospect anymore

bleh. Even if they get more(Dickerson?) it won’t be anything speshul.

by Daniel Berlyn on Dec 7, 2008 8:10 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

in the comments

john sickels seems to think that the change of scenery may help homer

by onlysoxfaninboston on Dec 7, 2008 8:17 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

more big payroll dump

got be a big chance we are going for a top FA now

number one when it mattered!

by hoodlight on Dec 7, 2008 8:04 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

yeah...

in his short stint in ’08 he lost a tick on the fastball and threw way more sliders — which also lost velocity.

by Craig Grebeck on Dec 7, 2008 8:13 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

That's what I recalled

but I couldn’t turn anything up on search… Gotta link?

AIM: SouthSideCheat

by The Cheat on Dec 7, 2008 8:32 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

won't the pitch f/x sites have the readings?

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 8:34 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

this one says 93-96

http://brooksbaseball.net/pfx/index.php?month=8&day=6&year=2008…

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 8:39 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

but that was in the majors...

http://cincinnati.reds.mlb.com/team/player.jsp?player_id=456701

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 8:41 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

there's reason to take this one seriously

if only because Jocketty has shown himself to be pretty open about his intentions. he’s at least been floating possibilities. i don’t think Kenny has even mentioned the Reds, but Jocketty otoh has gone as far as he can talking about the Sox and what he’s been offered.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:07 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

It is really sad to see JD go

but I am excited to see what this kid can offer. If this was 2010 then JD wouldnt be moved, he would just become the next DH.

We will miss you JD and your World Series MVP; however, you managed to not perform any clutch hitting last year. I see this as our opportunity to dump him before a steep decline in performance. I will miss his diving catches, but then again, they were a result of his slow movement in the outfield.

Does this mean Brian Anderson gets a full time gig in the outfield (assuming we dont get an OF free agent.

by airnjp on Dec 7, 2008 8:08 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

there's been no verbal indication from anybody near the Sox front office that they will be

going after any FAs. but if JD is in fact gone, then that’s ~30M off the books. plus Bobby’s arb that’s 20-25 left. i really doubt they’re cutting that much payroll in a single year.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:12 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think the Sox are bracing for very hard economic times

And they know they have a thin system that they are trying bolster in an effort to have some cheap talent on the field. Unfortunately, no one is willing to part with top prospects for what they Sox have traded.

Who would they be going after? I don’t see anyone that’s feasible that makes any sense.

by hitlesswonder on Dec 7, 2008 8:21 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

You don't?

Any one of the numerous corner OF types makes some sense. Dunn, in my mind, makes a lot of sense — he can man LF for a year and DH beyond that. Maybe Kenny is thinking salaries might be suppressed a bit in this market and hoping he can grab Dunn on a 4/$50 deal (or something similar). Or Juan Rivera. Or Milton Bradley.

by CWSKeith on Dec 7, 2008 8:34 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

absolutely....he's getting ready to spend....

keep in mind Thome/Contreras/Dotel are also off the books after ’09 (though I know Danks, Quentin, Floyd, Jenks, etc are due big raises eventually).

by stanchar on Dec 7, 2008 8:36 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Of all the trades so far

this one invokes the biggest reaction in me. Unlike the other two, Dye was actually a huge factor in the championship and reached maximum upside with them and wanted to be here. Yankees fans speak of “True Yankees”… I consider Dye a “True White Sock”. I didn’t think I’d feel this way when he was traded or let go.

by Daniel Berlyn on Dec 7, 2008 8:09 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

6 for 1 says MLBTR
It’d essentially be six years of Bailey for one of Dye (plus possible draft pick compensation), as Dye has a mutual option for 2010 at $12MM. Those almost never get fully exercised – if one side wants it, the other doesn’t. It would be interesting to see what the White Sox could do with Bailey given their recent success developing young pitchers.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2008/12/reds-trade-bail.html

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 8:13 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

any sign that it's not 1 for 1?

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:15 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Bailey, by all accounts, is toast

His fastball lost 5 MPH over the last 2 seasons. This is simply a great trade by Jocketty.

I suppose it’s time the Sox traded for an injured pitcher. Is that karma?

by hitlesswonder on Dec 7, 2008 8:16 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

by ALL accounts?

disagree.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:20 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

By many accounts?

Isn’t it a fairly established fact that his fastball is now pedestrian? I’ve read it in multiple places.

by hitlesswonder on Dec 7, 2008 8:22 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

He's 22.

That gives him plenty of time to get healthy and get that fastball back.

by bberdl20 on Dec 7, 2008 8:24 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Do you really think Kenny hasn't done his due dilligence here?

Bailey probably has 3 starter ceiling now, but at least Marquez won’t be taking those IP.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:26 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

This obviously isn't just about the return....it's about cutting payroll

for what I think will be some eventual bargain spending in a buyers’ market.

by stanchar on Dec 7, 2008 8:28 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I'm with you there...I'd much rather Bailey get work than Marquez

I still hate the Swisher trade….sheesh.

And guess what? The Sox could use a young cheap corner OF now.

by hitlesswonder on Dec 7, 2008 8:29 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I still hate the Swisher trade….sheesh.

And guess what? The Sox could use a young cheap corner OF now.

my exact thoughts

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 8:31 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

yeah I know. the Swish trade blows.

he would have been a perfect solution in right this year. without the Swish trade, this IS more transition and less rebuilding.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:35 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I dunno... methinks it would be more of a Gavin situation this year

though I doubt Bailey’s confidence has been crippled as much as Gavin’s was when he got here.

by Daniel Berlyn on Dec 7, 2008 8:53 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Agreed

The Swisher trade still sucks

by 815Sox on Dec 8, 2008 12:24 AM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

yes you did

I read it from your link

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 8:33 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I don't like it...

Bailey reminds me of a Corey Patterson or Feliz Pie. Looking at Bailey’s career numbers makes me want to vomit if that’s what we’re going to get every 5 days.

I can’t see Kenny turning around to go after a big free agent…there really aren’t any that excite me.

I HOPE this is a rumor….I really like JD.

by nancyfaust on Dec 7, 2008 8:15 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

dayton daily news reports it too, two sources!

same writer though…

http://www.daytondailynews.com/s/content/oh/story/sports/pro/reds/2008/12/07/ddn120808spredsweb.html

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 8:17 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

So I'll be the first to say it

It was fun while it lasted WTGTD

sit*

by U-God on Dec 7, 2008 8:18 PM CST reply reply actions actions   2 recs

rec

so dye and WTGTD for Bailey

"Oh, that's easy. White Sox. I'm not one of these fair-weather fans. You go to Wrigley Field, you have a beer; beautiful people up there. People aren't watching the game. It's not serious. White Sox, that's baseball. South Side." -O'Bama

by Hawk is God on Dec 7, 2008 8:24 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

What did I miss? Why was he cut off?

i guess if you think a guy who is missing both testicles is healthy,
sure.

by winningugly on Dec 8, 2008 7:41 AM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

c'mon wu, it's somebody's sig

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 8, 2008 8:48 AM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Ah, "somebondy's sig".

How uninformed of me. How could I miss that one?

i guess if you think a guy who is missing both testicles is healthy,
sure.

by winningugly on Dec 8, 2008 9:20 AM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I Got It! Its all about failed first round draft picks

We are trying to collect as many failed first round picks to pair up with our own failed picks. BA has a new best friend.

by airnjp on Dec 7, 2008 8:21 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

hence JVB

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:26 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

What a crazy week/month this has been and

will be.

Especially if Teixeria leaves LAA I can see KW dumping Thome/Konerko……and if Brew Crew somehow can keep Sabathia/Sheets…..I see KW going after Pirnce……Dunn now also a definite possibility.

by stanchar on Dec 7, 2008 8:27 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Gavin is on Bailey's comp list

"KenWO
no point in arguing with people who are blinded from reality..."
by Where Triples Go to Die on Nov 29, 2008 6:49 PM

by Illini0509 on Dec 7, 2008 8:35 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

it's a pretty solid comp from what i hear.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:36 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

meche, garland (grilli!) and mcgowan, halladay and billingsley on the lower end

"KenWO
no point in arguing with people who are blinded from reality..."
by Where Triples Go to Die on Nov 29, 2008 6:49 PM

by Illini0509 on Dec 7, 2008 8:39 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

yeah those all sound in line with the scouting reports i've heard/read

and also indicate that he’s got about 3 starter ceiling.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:43 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

they both have similar paths and stuff

I think Bailey’s got a little more umph in there than Gavin does, but his offspeed stuff probably isn’t as supple.

by Daniel Berlyn on Dec 7, 2008 8:54 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

so, if this is true, do we...

a) sign abreu
b) sign ibanez (puke)
c) trade for hermida

by Craig Grebeck on Dec 7, 2008 8:38 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Lowe

Not happening:


They (Mets) really like Derek Lowe, but Lowe’s agent, Scott Boras, wants $18 million a season, and the Red Sox and Yankees are involved in the Lowe sweepstakes.

by hitlesswonder on Dec 7, 2008 8:41 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Dunn

I’d be shocked. A bad defensive player with no speed and questions his grindiness seems really unlikely. He’s not the kind of guy the Sox target.

by hitlesswonder on Dec 7, 2008 8:43 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Have you seen any KW quotes insinuating that he's as much "speed and grind-i-ness" as you seem to want to make him out to be?

I mean, to a certain extent I agree with you, but for the most part Kenny keeps that type of talk in check. I seem to recall a quote from him not too long ago basically saying, “We play in US Cellular field — we’d be stupid as hell NOT to build a HR-oriented team.” He usually reserves the grindy quotes for the more ‘marginal’ players.

by CWSKeith on Dec 7, 2008 8:48 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

that's how i read things, keith.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:50 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

what Kenny says almost always FOLLOWS what kind of team he has

not vice versa.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:49 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Randy Winn?

Id rather Anderson and Owens play

Kenwo4life=ratings

by KenWo4LiFe on Dec 7, 2008 8:43 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Possible trade target.

I wouldn’t be shocked, but I think the Sox will go younger.

by hitlesswonder on Dec 7, 2008 8:44 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Sabean just signed Renteria

so he’s not selling off.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:47 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

i do like Winn though.

he’s a good defender and is probably underrated as a result.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:48 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

NTC

it’s hard to pry a guy with a NTC from SF or SD… see: Winn, Giles

by Daniel Berlyn on Dec 7, 2008 8:55 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

yeah i don't see it happening.

but he’s a real asset.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:59 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

teams tend to value good defenders

more than a lot of bloggers give them credit for, in my opinion.

by Daniel Berlyn on Dec 7, 2008 9:04 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

What's the running payroll total at now?

$85 million, give or take? Kenny insinuated in the last conference call that after the Vazquez trade they were pretty close to their limits, so I’m guessing this trade gives them some leeway on the market…

by CWSKeith on Dec 7, 2008 8:39 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

y'all need to keep

this bookmarked.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:50 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

put a link on your spreadsheet

one-stop link!

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 8:55 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

well really, we should just have a linktastic toolbox set up somewhere with all of the good

player/transaction analysis tools in one place

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:57 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

so we're at $75M

plus Bobby and Betemit going arb. so call it 83?

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 8:51 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

So basically under $85, yes?

Yeah… I’m thinking there’s still a bit more to come from our fearless leader.

by CWSKeith on Dec 7, 2008 8:56 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

KW really providing a distraction during this busy finals season

"KenWO
no point in arguing with people who are blinded from reality..."
by Where Triples Go to Die on Nov 29, 2008 6:49 PM

by Illini0509 on Dec 7, 2008 8:48 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

between him and my addiction to the wire

it’s gonna be a rough semester end for me

sit*

by U-God on Dec 7, 2008 8:51 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

should have more tonight/early tomorrow

re cabrera arb

"KenWO
no point in arguing with people who are blinded from reality..."
by Where Triples Go to Die on Nov 29, 2008 6:49 PM

by Illini0509 on Dec 7, 2008 8:55 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

i like this

A 22 year old starter with that kind of talent. Obviously there are risks, but 6 years worth of Bailey for a year of Dye seems worth it. Also, I don’t think anyone sees the 09 team as a possible WS team.

by shaftr on Dec 7, 2008 8:53 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

with a couple of additions

they could have contended. after all of the subtractions….no chance in hell. Williams better pray that Bailey, T Flow and Marquez pan out or he may be on the unemployment line.

Kenwo4life=ratings

by KenWo4LiFe on Dec 7, 2008 8:55 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Stay near small bldgs.

"I am not going out like SSH. "
by WTGTD, 12/3/08

by ballyb on Dec 7, 2008 9:27 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

the one deal that I'm sad about

BTB has to rub it in our face with mockery. Boy, that burns my cannoli.

by Daniel Berlyn on Dec 7, 2008 9:05 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I don't know why the Vazquez trade is seemingly getting lumped in as bad for the Sox

people are going on the presumptions that (a) Vazquez is a true 120 ERA+ pitcher, (b) Flowers is a 1B/DH and © none of the other players the Sox get pan out. If even one of those four players pans out for the Sox, they’ll likely get more value than the Braves will get (if only because the Sox would be getting six years from that player as opposed to one. I obviously understand that that isn’t how the trade will be evaluated — if Flowers flops, the trade will be viewed negatively.)

In what I see as the ‘likely’ scenario — Lillibridge becoming a decent utility player, Flowers becoming an above average non-star starter and Vazquez giving the Braves 400+ innings of a ~105-115 ERA+ — the Sox seem to come out ahead, but there’s obviously going to be a lot of contention with my presumptions, so…

by CWSKeith on Dec 7, 2008 9:10 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

i don't think they were lumping it in. Swish was bad, Vazquez is questionable, Dye is good

afaict

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 9:13 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If FLowers sticks at C it's a reasonable trade

I don’t see Lillibridge being useful, but it’s not a lopsided deal the Braves way. Of course, Javy could finally have that Cy Young year…..

by hitlesswonder on Dec 7, 2008 9:13 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Why not?

The bat obviously seems to be a pretty major issue, but there doesn’t seem to be any disagreement about his ability to play really good defense at short. Even if he can only muster a .700 OPS, that’s a pretty valuable bench player (so long as he’s not making big cash).

Plus he’s a grinder which subsequently makes him a winner, which is like +10 WARP, according to my rough calculations.

by CWSKeith on Dec 7, 2008 9:20 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

actually if he could OPS .700 and play above average D at SS

he’d be pretty dang close to an average SS. but i don’t think he can OPS .700.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 9:22 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

to be clear:

i’m not sure he can play above average SS d either.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 9:24 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

i think it's just a general skepticism more than something specific

he’s been off the radar for a little while and not especially toolsy. he may have reached his peak already and is now on the down side.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 9:29 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

that's supposed to be his strength

and you’d like to have the liberty of assuming KW didn’t get a ham-gloved shortstop with a .600 AAA OPS.

by Daniel Berlyn on Dec 7, 2008 9:26 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I don't expect anything out of Lillibridge.

if you’re traded more than once in quick succession, i think that’s a pretty good proxy for being less than you appear to be.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 9:30 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I guess we won't know till we see him about his glove

And even then I might not know. I can usually spot atrocious D, but beyond that not so much…

But for the bat, the numbers don’t say anything like .700 OPS to me right now or maybe ever. It may happen, but he’s pretty far away from that right now

by hitlesswonder on Dec 7, 2008 9:30 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

White Sox shoot down trade rumors about Dye, Jenks
A source familiar with the talks rejected a report in the Dayton Daily News quoting a “major-league source close to the situation” that a deal to send Sox right fielder Jermaine Dye to Cincinnati for pitcher Homer Bailey “was done and would be announced this week.”

http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/baseball/whitesox/chi-081207-chicago-white-sox-winter-meetings,0,7672373.story

AIM: SouthSideCheat

by The Cheat on Dec 7, 2008 9:01 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

S-T weigh in yet?

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 9:07 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

cowley twittered...

said kw is quiet, and dye’s agent has yet to hear.

by Craig Grebeck on Dec 7, 2008 9:07 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

it would be nice if we could compare the quality of the sources in question...

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 9:13 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Damn you, First Amendment protections

EVERYBODY PICK US FOR 3RD OR 4TH SO I DINK WE DOIN POOTY GOO
Sox Machine

by Sox Machine on Dec 7, 2008 9:19 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

we should have listened to Madison, damnit.

also: what’s your take on this contradiction here? not enough info at work, or would Gonzo publish unless he was totally sure if the trade wasn’t going through?

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 9:24 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Could be a few things

Source is right, source is incorrect, but because that’s what the Sox are feeding him, source is flat-out wrong because it’s not a good one.

At any rate, onus is still on McCoy’s report. The Chicago stories are basically saying, “A paper said this, here’s what we have.”

EVERYBODY PICK US FOR 3RD OR 4TH SO I DINK WE DOIN POOTY GOO
Sox Machine

by Sox Machine on Dec 7, 2008 9:33 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

maybe this is the Sox or Reds' way of saying

“Quit jumping the gun you little fuckers, we said it was going to be finalized this week, now go back to looking at jail-bait.”

I remember on a Dunn to the Brewers rumor in 07, Doug Melvin said

“I’m taking more calls deflecting these kinds of rumors than I’ve had talking to GMs. There are freaking geeks who get…off on this kind of stuff.”

of course, that one didn’t happen.

by Daniel Berlyn on Dec 7, 2008 9:25 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

SSS has a pretty big wad

we ain’t done shooting either.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 9:25 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   1 recs

rec'd colin

hilarious dude

takes some real stones for the one certifiable cocksucker on here to jump into this convo.-mm

by furby2056 on Dec 7, 2008 9:32 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Maybe I missed it

but I didnt see where anyone shot the rumor down, the only one that was shot down was the Jenks rumor.

FifthFeather.com

by El Duque's Raft on Dec 7, 2008 9:16 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

ah thank you sir

I saw source familar and assumed Gonzo was just repeating the same rumor

FifthFeather.com

by El Duque's Raft on Dec 7, 2008 9:19 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

payroll
Even though the White Sox won the AL Central in 2008, they apparently lost money.

Williams said getting younger is his prime objective this winter, but cutting the 2008 payroll ($121 million) ranks a close second.

“If there’s something out there, whether it be by trade or through free agency, we’ll explore it,” Williams said. “But there are parameters we have right now. Payroll-wise, we are bumping up against our break-even point as we sit here today.”

http://www.dailyherald.com/story/?id=256402

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 9:04 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yah right. who is going to believe they lost money?

unless some of you are retarded…which might be true… even then i still don’t think you can believe they lost money on payroll.

Kenwo4life=ratings

by KenWo4LiFe on Dec 7, 2008 9:18 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

better one here.

http://thebaseballcube.com/players/B/Homer-Bailey.shtml

I don't need to look at fancy stats

to see if a guy is good or not. You might have to.

by Where Triples Go to Die on Nov 30, 2008 4:16 PM CST

by omnipotent grab on Dec 7, 2008 9:11 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

i look at this, and i'm wondering where is the record of minor league success

i know cheat says we should emphasize improvement with increasing level progression, but i don’t see it with the basic stats

by onlysoxfaninboston on Dec 7, 2008 9:15 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

i don't see one either

click on the “mle” button

but i really don’t think it matters. pitchers don’t progress linearly like hitters.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 9:20 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

.395 babip in 2008 in mlb

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 9:20 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

http://firstinning.com/players/Homer-Bailey-a/

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 9:20 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

GOODBYE WTGTD!

DONT LET THE DOOR HIT YOU ON THE ASS!

I don't need to look at fancy stats

to see if a guy is good or not. You might have to.

by Where Triples Go to Die on Nov 30, 2008 4:16 PM CST

by omnipotent grab on Dec 7, 2008 9:11 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I am sorry was Dye traded?

Way to go danks

bitch can’t throw more than 130 innings a season? Trade him. He has no balls

Kenwo4life=ratings

by KenWo4LiFe on Sep 2, 2008 7:16 PM CDT actions actions 0 recs

by Where Triples Go to Die on Dec 8, 2008 10:41 AM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

kevin goldstein
the White Sox go and get things started early by trading Jermaine Dye to Cincinnati for Homer Bailey. All I could think of was The Dude from The Big Lebowski saying, "That’s [expletive] interesting, man." Maybe this is Kenny’s trend. Find some mega-talented ultra-high first-round pitcher who’s done nothing of late but annoy the team that drafted him. It sure worked with Gavin Floyd . .

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=1118

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 9:13 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

if we throw in jerry owens can we get volquez or jay bruce?

takes some real stones for the one certifiable cocksucker on here to jump into this convo.-mm

by furby2056 on Dec 7, 2008 9:33 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If this is true.... check out my sig

Thank you,
these bumblefucks think the Sox are going to trade Dye. I said I would cancel my membership on here in martyrdom of Dye being traded.

by Jbasic89 on Dec 7, 2008 9:36 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I hope this is not true

We HAVE to get more than just Bailey. It seemed like Dye was drawing decent interest from people. This better be false.

by JoeCoolMan24 on Dec 7, 2008 9:36 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

i disagree

see MM’s, Wiz’s, and the BTB links above.

bottom line from BTB:

Whether Bailey withers or lives up to his potential is irrelevant. It’s almost never a good idea to trade a young starting pitcher with a track record of solid minor league performance for an old corner outfielder with iffy defense. Dye’s value will likely outweigh Bailey next season, and perhaps in 2010, but come 2011 the White Sox will have Bailey for an additional four seasons while Dye is either retired or close to it. At that point, I would fully expect Bailey’s average season to be better than 2.2 WAR (about 180 innings, 4.59 FIP,adjust either as needed)

by onlysoxfaninboston on Dec 7, 2008 9:39 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Reds Deny Deal as Well
Reds assistant general manager Bob Miller said the club is not about to announce a trade that would send Homer Bailey to White Sox for the Jermaine Dye.

“We haven’t talked to White Sox since we got here (Las Vegas),” Miller said.

The Chicago Tribune quoted a White Sox source as saying the deal wasn’t done. The source said the Reds were reluctant to take Dye’ $11.5 million salary.

Link

AIM: SouthSideCheat

by The Cheat on Dec 7, 2008 9:44 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

this denial sounds like more like a non-denial, no?

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 9:46 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah, that's far from airtight.

EVERYBODY PICK US FOR 3RD OR 4TH SO I DINK WE DOIN POOTY GOO
Sox Machine

by Sox Machine on Dec 7, 2008 9:48 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

that's pretty open ended.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 9:48 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Both denials don't really refute that the deal "will be announced this week" as the initial report indicates

The first report sounded dubious initially, but the way the denials have been worded it sounds almost like they don’t want to announce the deal until something else gets done at the meetings.

AIM: SouthSideCheat

by The Cheat on Dec 7, 2008 9:49 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

as of now

I’m not holding my breath. Shoot, I was just getting used to the idea of Bailey giving up 20 homers in 90 innings with Owens getting 600 ABs.

by Daniel Berlyn on Dec 7, 2008 9:52 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

i just ran Bailey's '07 vs. RHB pfx from Kalk's Pfx tool

waaaay limited sample, but nonetheless encouraging. that said, the cards (which actually have all available data from their respective years) suggest a serious mechanical change occurred. check it: ‘07 vs. ’08

Note the big time difference in the fastball’s movement. Just from having stared at these a ton, Bailey’s fastball goes from Dotelian (limited x movement, BIIIIG y movement) to crappy. And the K rate in ’07 from the fastball was very good (10+%). So it looks like he changed his arm slot and ended up with a worse version of everything.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 9:47 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

dougdirt has made it known over the past couple of years

that the Reds had tinkered with his delivery. Though it may be moot now

by Daniel Berlyn on Dec 7, 2008 9:49 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

well Coop will simplify and get him into something repeatable.

and i think the trade’s going through at this point.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 9:52 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If ya miss,

miss down!

Or he could just let him use his high-school mechanics. Isn’t that what Gavin did?

by Daniel Berlyn on Dec 7, 2008 9:53 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

it's just a matter of repeatability.

if you can’t do it twice the same way, then you’re never going to have anything resembling command.

nothing gets ‘em wetter than infrequent postings on the city’s second favorite team

by colintj on Dec 7, 2008 10:32 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

His release point is very inconsistent in 08

In 07 all the data points are clustered together.

I imagine that would make his ‘08 season tougher as it would give opponents a read on what he’s throwing

by jeeves on Dec 7, 2008 9:52 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Jocketty issues strong denial
“Wrong. It’s not even close,” Jocketty said of the rumor.

There have been talks between the Reds and White Sox involving Dye, but they to not appear to be currently active.

“We haven’t had any discussions with the White Sox since before Thanksgiving,” Jocketty told MLB.com.

http://hotstove.mlblogs.com/archives/2008/12/jocketty_denies_dyebailey_rumo.html

AIM: SouthSideCheat

by The Cheat on Dec 7, 2008 9:58 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

also

http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20081207&content_id=3705530&vkey=hotstove2008&fext=.jsp

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 10:44 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Dye-Bailey (pre-denial)
I’m not that good at handicapping trades right after they happened — I’m really more of a hindsight guy — but my sense of this is that the Reds may have gotten the better end of the Homer Bailey for Jermaine Dye deal.

This may sound surprising in that, generally speaking, trading a 22 year-old pitching prospect for an aging corner guy with a dreadful glove usually constitutes malpractice. I’ve seen a lot of Homer Bailey, however, and my gut is that he’s about to fall into the abyss. He’s a putative power pitcher whose fastball has slowed down, who hasn’t made any adjustments or developed a credible third pitch, and who, based on his reaction to being sent down the past couple of years, seems to have some attitude problems. Could he turn it around with the change of scenery and turn into Curt Schilling or something? Sure, I suppose anything is possible and, hey, the guy is only 22. But I’m just kind of going with my gut on this one, and my gut tells me that he’s going to bop around for the next four or five years, disappointing wherever he goes, and making people scratch their heads and wonder why in the hell he never took off.

Dye? Not exactly someone who the Reds are going to build around, but he’s a useful bat at the very least, and if he can tear it up in the first half, he could be a useful trade chit for the Reds to send to a playoff contender desperate for an extra bat.

http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/shysterball/article/dye-bailey/

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Dec 7, 2008 11:12 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Way too cheap.

If thats all we could get for Jermaine Dye, the scouts must thin Dye is going to hit .230 next year and hit 15 home runs. We could asily get 3 top notch prospects from another team for Jermine Dye, He’s a seasoned veteran. The Sox are hoping for 2011.

The Trade-Maker

by dasox313 on Dec 12, 2008 2:58 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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