South Side Sox: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Around SBN: Has Kentucky Improved Since the Non-Conference Season?

The Math Is In: Sox Are the Best In Baseball So Far

I've been trying to think of a way to correalte how good at team is based on the three major facets of the game: pitching, offense, and defense.  I chose to look at ERA, Runs Scored, and Fielding %...I realize these stats have their flaws, but they're readily available and, overall, the results seem to validate common sense.  My sample teams are the 16 teams that have made it into the World Series.  Clearly, several of those teams made the World Series despite underperforming during the regular season, but again, as you'll see, the results average out those anomalies.  For each team I found their regular season rank for each of the three statistical categories previously mentioned.  So for example, the 2005 White Sox were 4th in MLB in ERA, 13th in runs scored, and 9th in Fielding %.  I looked up the rankings for all 16 of the World Series teams and found an average ranking for each of the stats.  Here are the results:

AVG. ERA Rank: 6.63

AVG. Runs Scored  Rank: 9.00

AVG. Fielding % Rank: 9.57

Normalizing the results (dividing each average by 6.63), you get

ERA= 1.00, Runs= 0.74, Fielding= 0.69

Basically, this means pitching is 26% more important than runs scored and 31% more important than fiedling %.  These results seem to validate what we already knew: pitching is the most important component of a winning team.  But also, you need to balance this with offense and defense. 

So  we can say that the Team Strengh Number is calculated by:

1.00(ERA Rank) + 0.74(Runs Scored Rank) + 0.69(Fielding % Rank)

Looking at 2008 rankings for each of the three stats (per espn.com),

the Sox's Team Strength No. is:

1.00(1) + 0.74(8) + 0.69(14) = 16.58

then Tampa Bay at 20.27, Philly at 20.64, Atlanta at 21.47, and the Cubs round ou the top 5 at 22.04.  Note that the lower the number, the higher the Team Strength

Obviously these #'s will fluctuate throughout the year, but I contend that by the time all 162 games are played, this calculation will give you a pretty good indicator of how a team stacks up against the others as well as how likely they are to succeed in the playoffs.  In addition, it allows you to compare teams from past years.  For example, the 2005 White Sox had a Team Strength Number of 19.83.  The Red Sox of 2007 were at an astounding 7.72.  We'll see how the numbers look in a couple of months. 

 

 

 

 

SouthSideSox is a community driven site. As such, users are able to express their thoughts and opinions in a FanPost, such as this one, which represents the views of this particular fan, but not necessarily the entire community or SouthSideSox editors.

0 recs  |  Comment 9 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

maybe he's phil rogers' intern

"I got the shotgun. You got the briefcase. It's all in the game though, right? "

by onlysoxfaninboston on Jun 19, 2008 12:04 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Was that a lewinski inspired blowjob joke?

Cause if it was, it was hilarious.

Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos.

by rhythm on Jun 22, 2008 3:14 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

question

why would dividing the runs scored or fielding % rank by the avg ERA have a normalizing effect?

how do the results differ if you take runs scored or fielding % as the denominator?

by The Scoper on Jun 19, 2008 12:33 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Pedantic Word Choice Comment:

I wouldn’t say that the medocrie teams that made it to the World Series “underperformed” in the regular season. They performed to their ability (or close to it) during the season. They got lucky in the post-season.
Apologies for being pedantic but it’s a pet peeve.

by joewho112 on Jun 19, 2008 12:55 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Lois,

I find this meatloaf shallow and pedantic.

Mosi Tatupu! Mosi Tatupu!

by Nordhagen on Jun 19, 2008 4:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

FWIW

BP’s 3rd order wins hate the White Sox.

by madvillian on Jun 19, 2008 1:42 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Hates?

Strong isnt it? Their 3rd win record before today was 40.7 & 30.3. I have actually run across about 3 statisical rankings of sorts that rank the Sox in the top 3 in MLB. Its not had to see. Their interchangeable with Tampa a notch below a Papi led Red Sox team. And probably closer to the Cubs than we think (NL still weak). Everybody else is behind.

And you’re absolutely right, replace fielding % with DER.

The SSS motto should be the answer to "What is our deepest fear?". Or maybe just Prozac.

by Tdogg on Jun 19, 2008 6:37 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fielding %

Should be replaced with DER

by madvillian on Jun 19, 2008 6:07 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

White Sox Baseball: You got your World Series now F&#% off!
Start posting about the White Sox »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Wmaq-news-bumper-mon-1-9-78_small
Hey, who wants to sit around and talk about 2005?
Oo_oo_uribe2_small
The Coolest White Sox Cartoonist Ever. (a book rec.)
Throwingmotion_small
Dudez,, WE GOT JUAN PIERRE!
Abide_small
White Sox Baseball: Create your own Slogan Contest

Recent FanPosts

Img_1423_small
Clever team name for fantasy baseball
Throwingmotion_small
The South Side Sox Fantasy Baseball League Is Ready to Roll.
Abide_small
Pick Your Winners! 2010 marketing slogan nominees
Ozncoop_small
Photoshop requests
39135485-59af19dbb26654095f910f34176af094_4ae8a81e-scaled_small
Predictions Group
Throwingmotion_small
South Side Sox 2010 Fantasy Baseball Challenge
Omar_small
Meta-Post: Reader's Choice
Humbull1_small
Twins blog sees close to 90 wins with Thome
Small
WATCH THIS VIDEO

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

FanShots

Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.

Recent FanShots

Naked Baseball Painting at the Library of Congress Greets, Amuses Visitors
Send the nationals a beat writer
Larry beating a dead horse? Thanks Carl!
Garcia key in Sox rotation
No. 5 starter has potential to lift whole club....
Brooks Boyer Discusses Buzz, Fesses Up To Lousy 2009 Numbers
Fangraphs and White Sox DH
Baseball's Best Statues, By Ballpark
An outside-the-box plan for realignment -- ESPN
Sox projected for 88 wins, AL Central title
Keith Law says Sox have worst farm system in MLB

+ New FanShot All FanShots >

SPONSORS

South Side Sox on Facebook

Managing Editor

Thecheatsmoking_small The Cheat

Editors

Deadhorse_small larry

Sealab_murphy_small colintj

Scenemissingsss_small thecip

Moon_mosaic_small homesickalien

Omar_small U-God

Authors

Headerrock_bigger_small shaftr

17258_0003_small The Actual El Guapo