Gavin Floyd: Good?!

by colintj on Jul 11, 2008 1:37 AM CDT

Since June 1st, Gavin has been completely en fuego. To wit: 3.22 ERA, 8.2 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 3.15 K/BB, 1.6 HR/9. Basically, it's a case of Brainswitch. Javy has become Gavin and Gavin has become Javy. See here. So...what do we think of this development? Do we think Gavin can keep it up? Can he shut down real teams with real bats in the lineup for an extended period of time? Or is this all a ruse? Outside of that month to end the season, he's basically never done anything like this before. Let's do a poll!

Poll

Does the past month and a half or so (the streak technically started on May 28) represent a new level of sustained performance or is he going to Return to Oblivion?

More or less sustainable

23 votes

He can strike this many dudes out, but the walks are going up

18 votes

Walk rate looks possible, but way too many K's. They're headed down.

15 votes

The SSH: The stuff doesn't match the performance. He'll be back to 6 and 3 in no time. Puke.

10 votes

The Bally: He's going to continue to improve. C'mon guys, ya gotta believe!

11 votes

77 votes | Poll has closed

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Comments

i voted too many k's.

he’s got 2 starts in this stretch with really high k totals, 10 and 9. aside from those 2 starts, his highest is 7, which he did one time. he had 2 strikeouts in the outing prior to his 10 k performance. i think he will probably settle into about 6.0 k/9, maybe slightly more.

i’m no pollster, but it looks like 100% of voters agree with me thus far, so i think that pretty much makes my opinion fact.

fuck you, that's my name!! you know why, mister? 'cause you drove a hyundai to get here tonight, I drove a eighty thousand dollar bmw. that's my name!!

by MarketMaker on Jul 11, 2008 3:34 AM CDT reply actions 2 recs

LOL!

i’m no pollster, but it looks like 100% of voters agree with me thus far, so i think that pretty much makes my opinion fact.

Rec’d!

The greatest trick the White Sox ever pulled was convincing their fan base that "Ozzieball" ever existed.

by The Wizard on Jul 11, 2008 12:27 PM CDT up reply actions

I noticed the last few starts Gavin has shook off AJ/Toby in several situations

Maybe I wasn’t paying enough attention before, but it seemed like up until that point whatever sign came from the catcher or the dugout was Floyd’s only option

by 3E8 on Jul 11, 2008 9:20 AM CDT reply actions

hmm

starting to get his own idea of how to pitch perhaps? dn.

are you trying to use stats around here? what the fuck do you think this is? - MM

by colintj on Jul 11, 2008 11:45 AM CDT up reply actions

Check out his stats

I believe he has allowed the fewest hits of any starter in our rotation, including Danks. Thats pretty damn indicative of how good this kid can be.

by Rockraines on Jul 11, 2008 2:26 PM CDT reply actions

hit rate has a lot of factors going into it

but it is at least somewhat indicative, i’ll grant you. whatever the case, the guy’s line drive rate is going to pick up eventually.

are you trying to use stats around here? what the fuck do you think this is? - MM

by colintj on Jul 11, 2008 2:34 PM CDT up reply actions

true

But if he can keep the hits down, and continue to spot his curve, he is going to have lots of success. That curveball is deadly.

by Rockraines on Jul 11, 2008 2:55 PM CDT up reply actions

I'm a little worried...but only a little

His WHIP doesn’t seem sustainable. And Gavin seems to have trouble out of the stretch, so it’s possible that when he does allow more runners the effect will sort of cascade and his runs allowed will shoot up precipitously.

I do think that ERA is going to rise over the year—more runners and more HRs seem inevitable given his career numbers. But, even if his ERA gets up to the 4.5 or 4.7 range, that’s acceptable in my world from a league minimum starter. He’d be like an inexpensive Jon Garland (ERA-wise, not stuff-wise). And I think he can do that.

So, I don’t think his current success level is sustainable. But I do think that he’s very likely to be a good pitcher this year and next.

Announcer: [A fan] from Frederick, Maryland, wants to know why you don't go out and get some more team speed.

Weaver: Team speed, for Chrissake, you get BLEEP god damn little fleas on the bases getting picked off trying to steal, getting thrown out, taking runs away from you. You get them big BLEEP who can hit the BLEEP ball out of the BLEEP ballpark and you can't make any god damn mistakes.

by hitlesswonder on Jul 11, 2008 3:52 PM CDT reply actions