I was a little bit surprised that these projections weren't overly optimistic. The counting stats could probably use my plucked from thin air 5% adjustment, but the rate stats seem pretty accurate to me. The community agrees that Alexei will be more patient in '09, and could see an up-tick in his strikeout rate as a result...

I agree. And it's only as I'm writing this that I realize I didn't even log an entry of my own, so I can't even say for sure what I would have given him without viewing the community's numbers. I think I might have ended up on the high side.

Raw Spreadsheet data here.