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Better Know a White Sox Division Rival: Minnesota Twins

This is the second in a series about AL Central rivals and the race to be the tallest midget.

Offseason Comings and Goings

I don’t think any team had a quieter offseason than the Twins. While reporters wishcasted various free agent courtings – Orlando Cabrera, Ivan Rodriguez, Juan Cruz, to name a few – the Twins waited until February to make their one "major" move: Joe Crede. I don’t need to go into Crede’s strengths and weaknesses here but, suffice to say, this looks like an upgrade at a low price. Whether his back holds up, especially on the turf, is an open question. They also brought in reliever Luis Ayala. And that’s about it.

610x_medium

The departures list is neither much longer nor more impressive. Cheap, oft-injured defensive maven (sound familiar?) Adam Everett is gone, as are relievers Eddie Guardado and Dennys Reyes.

The Twins didn’t do anything bad this offseason but, considering the young core their team has, it’s sort of sad that the ownership is wasting Mauer’s and Morneau’s prime years by failing to surround them with a more potent offense. The Twins will tell you that they have depth and young talent all around – pretty much true – but there were clear upgrades available at cheap prices this offseason and management failed to execute. A couple moves could have put the Twins in the driver’s seat in this tight division. Of course, ownership will probably tell you that's the price of being a small market team.

Offense

A projected lineup: Denard Span RF, Alexi Casilla 2B, Joe Mauer C, Justin Morneau 1B, Jason Kubel DH, Delmon Young LF, Joe Crede 3B, Nick Punto SS, Carlos Gomez CF

Bench and Spare Parts: Michael Cuddyer OF, Brendan Harris INF, Mike Redmond C, Brian Buscher INF, Jose Morales C, Jason Pridie OF, Matt Tolbert INF

This lineup features two legitimate stars, Mauer and Morneau, and then a bunch of average to less players. This lineup hasn’t and won’t hit a lot of home runs but it will make up for that a bit with doubles and triples. They’ll also get on base okay. Last season, they thrived on hitting with runners in scoring position; that is unlikely to be replicated.

The big story, however, is Mauer. After offseason kidney surgery, he’s been slowed this spring by inflammation in his low back. It is now doubtful that he’ll be ready opening day. This is a massive blow to a team that really can’t afford one (not that any team could absorb a hit like this). Mauer is worth a lot. And his backups, as they are wont to be, aren’t impressive. Neither Mike Redmond nor Jose Morales are likely to be much more than replacement level, if that. Any extended absence from the lineup would likely sink their season.

Span was supposed to be the heir to Torii Hunter in center but he never developed as the Twins expected. So they traded for Carlos Gomez. And Span decided to have a breakout season and force his way into a crowded outfield. While Span may have experienced the Lasik SLG bump, it’s hard to buy a repeat of last season based upon his track record. Gomez is not a good offensive player. But he’s probably one of the best, if not the best, defensive players in baseball and some minor improvements in his offense, which perhaps should be expected based on his age, would make him very valuable. Young is in a make or break year as he’s been barely replacement level so far in his 1/1 draft pick career – still just 23, the tools are there for a breakout - but the Twins' crowded outfield means Gardenhire is unlikely to be very patient. Kubel is a rather unimpressive use of a DH spot and guys like Cuddyer (who, like Kubel, will play both LF and RF, as well) won’t make it better.

Star-divide

Pitching

Rotation: Francisco Liriano, Scott Baker, Kevin Slowey, Nick Blackburn, Glen Perkins

Bullpen and Spare Parts: Joe Nathan, Jesse Crain, Matt Guerrier, Craig Breslow, Luis Ayala, Jose Mijares, Brian Duensing, Philip Humber, R.A. Dickey, Anthony Swarzak, Jason Jones

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Kenny Williams says he likes to build his staff with a bunch of #2 pitchers. Well, that could be another case of Twin envy. 1-5 this is the best rotation in the division and there’s no real weak point. In Liriano, they have a potential ace and, another year removed from Tommy John surgery, the lefty should be fully recovered. The rest of the staff is similar in that they throw strikes and limit walks. Baker and Slowey are a step above the other two in that they also get a good amount of strikeouts.

The bullpen has long been a Twin strength and any bullpen that has Nathan at the end of it is going to be in decent shape. Their depth was weakend by the loss of Pat Neshek and Boof Bonser to injury but the Twins have arms to spare. Mijares burst onto the scene late in the season and should be a primary lefty (though he's had a rough spring), along with the smartest man in baseball, Craig Breslow - though Brian Duensing is pushing for shot and may also be in the mix for long relief. Crain, Ayala and Guerrier are likely to be primary righty set-up men. Humber is out of options and likely to take the swingman role. However, as with any Twin bullpen, expect significant shuffling during the season and the unearthing of some diamond.

Farm

Like with the Royals, most of the Twins’ prospects are a few years away. However, a couple guys are worth a mention.

Kevin Mulvey is a 24 year old right-hander who came over from the Mets in the Santana trade. He doesn’t need much more seasoning in AAA but there isn’t a spot in the rotation for him, either. He could eventually end up in the bullpen but the Twins will likely send him back to Rochester as rotation insurance. He has four average pitches – 90 MPH fastball, slider, curve and change – and that usually means backend innings eater.

Danny Valencia is a 24 year old 3B (huh, wonder why a guy who plays there would be mentioned...). The rap on Valencia has been a poor glove; however, he has improved in that area and he can hit. His strikeout rate jumped dramatically on his promotion to AA midseason but his history suggests that is likely just a temporary issue as he adjusts to higher levels. Expect a return to New Britain to see if the plate discipline issues are ironed out before a promotion to AAA. While the Twins have some stopgap options for when Crede inevitably misses games, Valencia could be pushing for a look in the second half of the season.

Outlook

The height of this midget will depend upon the health of Mauer. If he’s healthy, the upside of the young core may make them a very slight favorite.

Up next: Cleveland Indians

Previously: Kansas City Royals

1 recs  |  Comment 31 comments |

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Comments

Display:

Lovin' it

Thanks Larry

Alexander Hamilton shot Alexander Hamilton...

by Hazymania on Mar 21, 2009 11:28 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

well, i was waiting for you to put up a picture.

i wanted this to be as punto free as possible but that’s the price i pay for being unable to make a photo go in the correct place.

by larry on Mar 21, 2009 12:31 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hopefully that will be changing soon.

Meanwhile, look at him go. He’s running and sliding.

by The Cheat on Mar 21, 2009 12:36 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Glorious!

Skipping work and doing coke!

by omnipotent grab on Mar 21, 2009 12:48 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Into 1st nonetheless! Gosh, he's good!!

...and then some depressed fucked-cake eating.

by homesickalien on Mar 22, 2009 10:55 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

programming reminder

v. cubs at 3pm on comcast (white sox crew). a cactus league attendance record is expected. lineup:

Anderson rf

Getz 2b

Quentin lf

Thome dh

Konerko 1b

Pierzynski c

Ramirez ss

Fields 3b

Wise cf

Buehrle p

by larry on Mar 21, 2009 12:39 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

No more Beckham?

Has he already been locked in for 2B and SS?

Skipping work and doing coke!

by omnipotent grab on Mar 21, 2009 12:50 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rounding into pre CFer trade shape.

"I am not going out like SSH. "
by WTGTD, 12/3/08

by ballyb on Mar 21, 2009 2:18 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

sloooooooow today

I’m leaving for work, I expect 200+ comments when I get home!

Alexander Hamilton shot Alexander Hamilton...

by Hazymania on Mar 21, 2009 2:39 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I love the crossword puzzle piece on comcast.

Coop is hilarious.

Skipping work and doing coke!

by omnipotent grab on Mar 21, 2009 2:46 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

So no gamethread?

Skipping work and doing coke!

by omnipotent grab on Mar 21, 2009 3:06 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Ugh.

No.

Skipping work and doing coke!

by omnipotent grab on Mar 21, 2009 3:15 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Too much effort.

Im going to take a nap.

Skipping work and doing coke!

by omnipotent grab on Mar 21, 2009 3:16 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

it's up.

for you og.

for you.

I can lead you to 4 Wisdom, but I can't free your brain from the evil of Punto.

by colintj on Mar 21, 2009 3:17 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I feel loved.

Skipping work and doing coke!

by omnipotent grab on Mar 21, 2009 3:17 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

the smartest man in baseball, Craig Breslow

blasphemous!
no aj?

Colon "toes" nothing. That implies a nimbleness akin to a Nureyev. I beleive he "platypussed" the shit out of that mound.
-winningugly

by blackoutsox on Mar 21, 2009 3:35 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Nice work, larry.

the post wasn't for you. fuck off.
by larry on Feb 10, 2009 12:43 PM EST

by winningugly on Mar 21, 2009 4:08 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

joe cowley

Getz was officially named the starting second baseman. The day the Beckham music died.

i suck - the sox dont - SSH2005

by BoeJouma on Mar 21, 2009 6:21 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

you bumped my game thread?!?!

I can lead you to 4 Wisdom, but I can't free your brain from the evil of Punto.

by colintj on Mar 21, 2009 7:02 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

great bit, larry

I’m probably ig’nent, but I’d never seen the Lasik study before (heard it talked about, but not seen the data). Has there been an update since ’04, to your knowledge?

I'm like a laser, six-string razor. I've got a mouth like an alligator

by Nordhagen on Mar 22, 2009 9:42 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

yes, but it's available on bill james' website.

pretty much found the same thing (still a small sample size, of course) but i didn’t link to it because i doubt many could read it since that’s an even more esoteric pay site.

by larry on Mar 22, 2009 9:47 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thankya, larry. Hawk and I are a little disappointed that there wasn't more said about Gomez. :)

It continues to amaze me….
I know Boras is generally soulless, but why oh why would Crede sign with an AstroPlay team coming off of his back surgery?

...and then some depressed fucked-cake eating.

by homesickalien on Mar 22, 2009 11:04 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Ahhh Crede in a Twins jersey...

I’m in Fort Myers and I saw him playing today. Couldn’t help but root for him. Got to get it out of my system before the games count. He played well with an RBI 2B and a walk.

Watching others run "The Hill" since 2005.

by Adam Hoge on Mar 22, 2009 10:20 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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