G-G-G-Gavin And The Bats

Sox took 3 of 4 from the Rays and very well could have had the sweep if it weren't for Ben Zobrist, a cybernetic upgrade from the old Punto model.  Still, it was a pretty impressive performance on the weekend.  The Rays scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of the 4 games, while the Sox averaged a full 7 runs per game over the series. How?

Series Stats

  • .327/.408/.558 vs. .178/.250/.311*
  • 20:25 BB/K vs. 13:31
  • .354 BABIP vs. .250
  • 12% of PAs ended in BB vs. 8.8%
  • .411 estimated wOBA** vs. .269

Yeah. That'll do it.  Interestingly, if you plug wOBA back in to get runs above average for the series w/ 160 PA, you get 10 runs above average (or about 7 per game) for the Sox and 10 below for the Rays (about 2 per game).

Gavin took the mound in the series finale and had all of his pitches working, with memorable strike outs of Longoria on a sick bender, as well as Carlos Peña on his little used change-up.  7 K's, no walks and the only damage coming from the aforementioned cyborg.  Meanwhile, Floyd's opposite Matt Garza struggled to find the plate and the Sox weren't helping.  They took 5 walks to 4 strikeouts and the Sox BABIP'd .438 on the day thanks to line drives and the occasional deep fly.  It was never particularly close:

290419130_whitesox_rays_123826515_lbig_medium

via www.fangraphs.com


The Rays were down to 25% chance to win by their half of the 3rd and never mounted a significant challenge thereafter.

*I used AB+BB for PA, so OBP will probably be overstated by a bit.

**I ran a quick regression from fangraphs leaderboard in '08 w/ OPS and wOBA.  They correlate extremely well (r = .95).  The trend line gave me wOBA = .351*OPS + .072.

 

 

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join South Side Sox

You must be a member of South Side Sox to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at South Side Sox. You should read them.

Join South Side Sox

You must be a member of South Side Sox to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at South Side Sox. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker