Sox projected for 88 wins, AL Central title

Projected standings
White Sox - 88
Twins - 82
Indians - 76
Tigers - 75
Royals - 71

about 2 years ago Ryno 18 comments 0 recs |

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in division that doesn't feature Jim Thome

Twitter: @SouthSideCheat
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by The Cheat on Jan 30, 2010 4:09 PM CST reply actions

no doubt.

i’ve read on here that the consensus is that thome is worth 6-7 wins, at least 2 of those wins for his baserunning skillz.

by larry on Jan 30, 2010 4:22 PM CST up reply actions

Repost

Again folks just seem to always gloss over run prevention. For some strange reason they always assume the pitching team loses 2-1 or 4-3 which is of course goofy.

"You're lucky I'm retired"
Jack Bauer

by Tdogg on Jan 30, 2010 4:33 PM CST reply actions

this can't be right...

Liriano is in the ‘best shape of his career’

by Andronicus on Jan 30, 2010 4:35 PM CST reply actions

so is andruw jones.

cancels out.

Kenwo4life=ratings

by KenWo4LiFe on Jan 30, 2010 6:12 PM CST up reply actions

I want this person on our site:

Arley05 (1/30/2010 at 5:15 PM) SOX 05 WORLD CHAMPS B*TCHES!!

I couldn’t figure it out yesterday, but it came to me at 4am. Then I understood the FOGhat, laughed so hard I farted, and went back to bed.

by winningugly on Jan 30, 2010 4:57 PM CST reply actions

not enough ratings

by Trooper on Jan 31, 2010 8:36 AM CST up reply actions

PECOTA readjusted

looks like a few more mught happen
RS 746 -RA 751 2nd place 3 games behind twins

Disappointing for runs to come down (should have expected) but RA came down too (not enough)

The most interesting thing again is the very good projection for Alexei .276/.342/.463 (26 hrs)
I’m not as tight on the math but those numbers with his continued 2nd half defense could very well yield a 4 win season. The Sox could certainly use that.

Quentin’s .273/.378/.515 and Rios .270/.337/.445 numbers would also be good starting points.

"You're lucky I'm retired"
Jack Bauer

by Tdogg on Jan 30, 2010 9:03 PM CST reply actions

oops

link

"You're lucky I'm retired"
Jack Bauer

by Tdogg on Jan 30, 2010 9:04 PM CST up reply actions

Q! and Alexei's season's seem VERY generous,

I’d knock off my 5% if those showed up in our community projections.

Twitter: @SouthSideCheat
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by The Cheat on Jan 30, 2010 9:30 PM CST up reply actions

Yeah I could see that

They are at the age for a big bump more or less.
On the other hand the pitching projections, especially innings seem awfully conservative.
Would that 1st year for Hudson be to your liking? Assuming of course if he gets the innings.I don’t know what to expect from Garcia now.

"You're lucky I'm retired"
Jack Bauer

by Tdogg on Jan 30, 2010 11:39 PM CST up reply actions

Q's is a little better than the midway point between the last two years

since last year’s was injury-marred, I think that’s quite reasonable.

Alexei’s is generous but not impossible. That’s .15 better than 08.

by Daniel Berlyn on Jan 31, 2010 12:40 AM CST up reply actions

The projected runs (allowed and scored) for everybody were just too high.

By which I mean, they added up to about 5 runs per game. That’s been fixed. Some other issues with defense have just been fixed (we did another run of the depth chart this morning.)

by cwyers on Feb 1, 2010 12:52 PM CST up reply actions

you're gonna need a few more runs at those depth charts.

some pretty odd stuff in there.

by larry on Feb 1, 2010 1:20 PM CST up reply actions

Can you give me some examples?

I’ll be happy to take another look at it, but it helps if I have some idea of what you’re looking at.

by cwyers on Feb 1, 2010 1:28 PM CST up reply actions

well, i understand the constraints you guys have regarding the depth charts.

but de aza getting 225 PAs? and the lovely rotating DH is going to be essentially jones and kotsay. the playing time for pierzynski strikes me as low but i imagine that’s more of a PECOTA thing. same for pierre. daniel cabrera cracks me up (though the name of the replacement level 7th starter is probably irrelevant). even with all the rotating stuff 500 PA for kotsay seems pretty high. the rest of the stuff is probably even more irrelevant to the overall purpose of this so not worth mentioning.

by larry on Feb 1, 2010 1:40 PM CST up reply actions