There’s almost no question that Alomar will get in next year, so he will probably be a second-ballot Hall of Famer. How does he stack up with the others? And, for that matter, when (or if) should we expect the other newbies on the ballot to get in? Below is a table of the median HoFM and HoFS scores of Hall of Fame Inductees (filtered to those whose first year on the ballot was 1960 or later) based on the year they were elected by the BBWAA. The group of “Others” consists of those that were not elected by the writers and are no longer eligible, but achieved at least 25 percent of the vote in their best year.

___________________ HoFM ________HoFS

Ballot Elected/ Number/ Median [Max,Min]/ Median/Avg [Max,Min]
1st/ 39/ 214 [454,98]/ 56/54.3 [76,34]
2nd or 3rd/ 9/ 158 [226,120]/ 50/49.1 [57,18]
4th or 5th/ 7/ 149 [178,108]/ 47/48.6 [58,39]
6th to 10th/ 8/ 124 [150,81]/ 41/39.5 [57,19]
11th to 15th/ 7/ 134 [146,89/] 35/36.0 [47,17]
Other/ 30/ 98 [175,42]/ 34/33.3 [53,16]

Unless they want to hold him back a year for the DH thing.

His class is ridiculous though
Maddux, Glavine, Kent and Mussina

the year before for possible holdovers are
Bonds, Clemens, Biggio, Schilling, Sosa and Piazza