I'm having dinner with Nate Silver and listening to him lecture next week. It is mainly a methodologies of political science type thing, but I may be able to get a question or two in about baseball stats. Anything you think I should ask?
over 1 year ago
soxshenanigans
35 comments
1 recs |
Comments
if you could just hem and haw nervously for ten minutes
and then ask him to sign your forehead, it would be almost like being there.
Fireworks: Bang?
Please give him a picture of Chiburb
and tell him it’s his biggest knob-slobbing fan. Perhaps he will leave some DNA as a sig.
I guess one man's pain in the ass is another’s perfect fit.
by mick10 on Sep 1, 2010 2:39 PM EDT
and also from WU
PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE get some interview training. saw him on olbermann this past election and he was still twitchy. maybe just less coffee.
well only the first part is from WU
I don’t think he can watch olbermann without melting. mellllting
the interviewing advice was from larry
"I never say one bad thing about those stupid fucking Cubs fans. Not a single word about those mother-shitting pieces of fuck"
by onlysoxfaninbasel on Nov 10, 2010 2:37 PM CST up reply actions
Yeah. I think WU criticized how Nate was dressed.
"I have discovered in 20 years of moving around a ballpark, that the knowledge of the game is usually in inverse proportion to the price of the seats. "
Bill Veeck
Liar.
Amazed you can type when referencing your God, Sr. Silver.
I guess one man's pain in the ass is another’s perfect fit.
by mick10 on Sep 1, 2010 2:39 PM EDT
you were defending nate in his first interview as if you were the proud fadda
"I never say one bad thing about those stupid fucking Cubs fans. Not a single word about those mother-shitting pieces of fuck"
by onlysoxfaninbasel on Nov 10, 2010 3:53 PM CST up reply actions
Ask him if he'll cut that cyst out of your face. Oh wait. That's Rany.
Never mind.
"I have discovered in 20 years of moving around a ballpark, that the knowledge of the game is usually in inverse proportion to the price of the seats. "
Bill Veeck
in seriousness, i'm having a tough time coming up with anything
he hasn’t been doing much baseball wise lately i assume given the elections and all, so just finding out if he’s been doing anything interesting with baseball would be cool.
are you in the same field as him?
Fireworks: Bang?
I'm the same way as you
He hasn’t published any baseball stuff in a while, other than a quick rip on the methods of some umpiring critique that ESPN did on his fivethirtyeight blog. We are more or less in the same field. I do methodologies and int’l relations. I don’t try to predict as much as analyze past events, but everyone I’m with wants to pick his brain on his US prediction models.
Why is this brainless, legless drunk still on my TV?-RWShow
by soxshenanigans on Nov 10, 2010 1:14 PM CST up reply actions
uni.
Why is this brainless, legless drunk still on my TV?-RWShow
by soxshenanigans on Nov 10, 2010 4:08 PM CST up reply actions
I'd ask how he transitioned to politics from sports
and why he thinks his success has since skyrocketed when most folks think sports rules the world.
Plus, do his methods translate better to political numbers, since he has been lights-out in his projections re: politico results?
I guess one man's pain in the ass is another’s perfect fit.
by mick10 on Sep 1, 2010 2:39 PM EDT
tell him that on behalf of the chicago white sox
that PECOTA can go fuck itself
"I never say one bad thing about those stupid fucking Cubs fans. Not a single word about those mother-shitting pieces of fuck"
by onlysoxfaninbasel on Nov 10, 2010 12:54 PM CST reply actions
with secret sauce!
"I have discovered in 20 years of moving around a ballpark, that the knowledge of the game is usually in inverse proportion to the price of the seats. "
Bill Veeck
rimshot!
"I never say one bad thing about those stupid fucking Cubs fans. Not a single word about those mother-shitting pieces of fuck"
by onlysoxfaninbasel on Nov 10, 2010 1:00 PM CST up reply actions
osfib reminds me
how would he go about implementing a team health factor into PECOTA (or a PECOTA-like system) would be interesting. does he think that team’s that perform best in that realm get most of their gains by selecting the right players or if the trainer and his methods are more important? stuff like that. or, along those lines, what kind of additions would he most like to make to PECOTA.
Fireworks: Bang?
Just so I have it clear I should:
1) Give Nate Silver a very awkward bj
2)Ask him about his transition from politics to baseball, what did he learn from baseball that lead to political success and if there is anything he has learned doing politics that he could apply back to baseball.
3)Is there anything about PECOTA you would change? (e.g. Health, i.e White Sox and hermie)
Why is this brainless, legless drunk still on my TV?-RWShow
the first one is critical if you are to have success with the next two
4 hours 5 minutes? Is that all? Buehrle coulda pitched three CGs and the bottom of the 14th in Houston by then. FTMFYITA! - RWShow
Yeah, we're a big fucking help, aren't we?
Foxhole guys on this site. Guys you want standing shoulder-to-shoulder with you.
I guess one man's pain in the ass is another’s perfect fit.
by mick10 on Sep 1, 2010 2:39 PM EDT
no such thing as an atheist in a foxhole.
Why is this brainless, legless drunk still on my TV?-RWShow
by soxshenanigans on Nov 11, 2010 11:04 PM CST up reply actions
I bet there's a U-God though.
"I have discovered in 20 years of moving around a ballpark, that the knowledge of the game is usually in inverse proportion to the price of the seats. "
Bill Veeck
the guy giving a handie to a horse?
no thanks.
Why is this brainless, legless drunk still on my TV?-RWShow
by soxshenanigans on Nov 12, 2010 1:52 PM CST up reply actions
No, the guy in the fox' hole.
"I have discovered in 20 years of moving around a ballpark, that the knowledge of the game is usually in inverse proportion to the price of the seats. "
Bill Veeck
Nate combines baseball and politics:
What is odd then is that candidates like Tim Pawlenty, the outgoing Minnesota governor, and Senator John Thune of South Dakota are being discussed so much among insiders. Hotline ranks them as the 2nd and 3rd most likely Republican nominees, respectively, but those are the candidates whom I’d bet against at the odds that Intrade is offering.
The theory seems to be that all of the front-runners are flawed in some way, which is undoubtedly true. But if one of the front-runners flops in some way once the campaign actually begins, I don’t see why it wouldn’t be one of the other front-runners who would pick up their slack: if Sarah Palin’s campaign gets off to a poor start, for instance, it is probably Mr. Gingrich — not Mr. Pawlenty or Mr. Thune — who would get first dibs on her votes.
The analogy is to a baseball team that is 7 games out of first place at the All-Star break: how likely is this team to come back and win its division?
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/11/2012-contenders-to-bet-against/?hp
"I have discovered in 20 years of moving around a ballpark, that the knowledge of the game is usually in inverse proportion to the price of the seats. "
Bill Veeck
One thing I'd be curious about is if he ever considers taking his methods and applying them somewhere else.
Like, analyzing poker players or something.
"I was the nicest Hitler ever, pulling out chairs for old women and what not." -Rhubarb
by South Side Expat on Nov 12, 2010 7:30 PM CST reply actions
Ask him why his blog is similar in name to Curt Schilling's.
Then ask him if he took the political advice that Curt and Kevin Millar were spewing out the night that they won the 2004 World Series.
That was honestly one of the most asinine things I’ve ever seen.
I remember seeing Millar saying something like "yeah, it’s great that we won. Now we just need everyone to go out there and vote for W on Tuesday and then we’ll win twice. "
Nate Silvers is called 538 because of the 538 votes in the electoral college.
I have no clue why Schillings is called 38pitches.
Why is this brainless, legless drunk still on my TV?-RWShow
by soxshenanigans on Nov 17, 2010 8:45 PM CST up reply actions
Was he not #38?
I guess one man's pain in the ass is another’s perfect fit.
by mick10 on Sep 1, 2010 2:39 PM EDT
wow, the right answer is generally the simplest?
occam’s razor strikes again
Why is this brainless, legless drunk still on my TV?-RWShow
by soxshenanigans on Nov 19, 2010 12:06 AM CST up reply actions




















