Hey, who wants to sit around and talk about 2005?
I'm not talking October 2005. But February of 2005.
I wasn't really following White Sox baseball (other than "I'm a south sider and I like the White Sox"), during the 2004-2005 off season.
What was that offseason like? If everyone freaked out about the Twins signing Jim Thome and Orlando Hudson, then everyone must have really lost their minds five winters ago.
There are a lot of parallels between this offseason and 2004/05. Power hitters like Lee and Magglio were gone, replaced by a slap hitter and a guy with a questionable injury history.
PECOTA had the Sox at 80-82 that year, in third place behind Cleveland and Minnesota. Detroit was pegged as the team most likely to break out.
Here's what Nate Silver had to say about Kenny's moves:
Perhaps Kenny Williams has some form of Munchausen's Syndrome by Proxy, and needs to ruin the team in order to save it? Perhaps it's something in the White Sox' ill-conceived lease with the Illinois Sports Facilities Authority, which doesn't require the White Sox to pay rent until the 1.5 millionth customer has passed through the U.S. Cellular turnstiles? In any event, this was looking like the year in which the Sox might finally have done poorly enough to trigger some necessary, long-overdue front office changes, but the flurry of constructive late-winter signings ought to be just enough to pull them back into their self-built purgatory.
Jay Mariotti wrote in the Sun Times:
Oh, this makes loads of sense, building a slap-and-tickle team to play 81 games in the most power-friendly ballpark in the majors..... Ken Williams is trading mashers for midgets....Amazingly enough, a team that hit a major-league-best 242 homers in 2004 has lost four prime power hitters, including Jose Valentin. And the only attempt to fill the void was Williams' cheapskate signing of injury-hobbled Jermaine Dye, who will make $4 million next year ($10 million less than Ordonez made last season) and is a career .208 hitter with two out and runners in scoring position.....Don't be fooled by (Scott) Podsednik's 2003 National League Rookie of the Year award or his 70 stolen bases last year. This is a leadoff hitter who has trouble leading off, hitting only .244 last season with a lame .313 on-base percentage....
Of course this sounds familiar, because this is what we have been saying for the last three weeks. It must have been much worse then, because Lee and Magglio were still in their prime.
As we all know, everyone went on to live happily ever after.
That brings us to this year. The pitching staff, in my estimation, is much better than five years ago. These guys are good. You don't have to wonder if someone's going to pull a phenomenal season out of their ass.
You might want to check my math on this - but I'm willing to say that heading into this year, the offense is better than five years ago. Even without Thome and Dye (yet).
Here's what I'm looking for this year
1- The hot start. Five years ago, the Sox jumped out of the gate so fast that everyone kind of forgot that the Indians were the best team in that division (at least until September). Throw in a couple of extended winning streaks, and I can enjoy a Tums free summer.
2- The question marks. Not ours, theirs. Everyone talks about the problems with the White Sox, but what if the Orlando Hudson that shows up in Minnesota is the Slow-Dog who lost his job in LA to Ronnie Belliard? What if JJ Hardy is the player that bounced back and forth between Milwaukee and Nashville? What if Justin Morneau has a hard time recovering after back surgery? There's some stuff lurking in the weeds up north too.
3- The deal. Kenny's not done. He can trade for a bat. He can sign someone.
4- The bouncebacks. The consensus in the stat community is that Rios and Quentin will bounce back. You toss a non-slumping PK, an older Beckham, and Alexei into the mix, you have a team that can hit the ball.
5- Ozzie. With the exception of 2007, he's outperformed PECOTA. He beat the projection system by 19 games in '05, 8 games in '06, 0 games in '07 (but even that team did better than it should have), 12 games in '08, and 8 games in '09. Given Ozzie's track record, the Sox should clock in at 88-89 wins.
6- Surprises. Sometimes, a Kenny gamble pays off. Jermaine Dye, Tadahito Iguchi, and Bobby Jenks in 2005, Jim Thome in 2006, Carlos Quentin in 2008, and Pods 2.0 in 2009 are all examples of question marks who later became cornerstones. Odds are someone's gonna turn some heads.
So there's your daily dose of optimism.
SouthSideSox is a community driven site. As such, users are able to express their thoughts and opinions in a FanPost, such as this one, which represents the views of this particular fan, but not necessarily the entire community or SouthSideSox editors.
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nice write up
and i have to agree. I hated the 2004/2005 offseason. I still do. That trade of C Lee for that piece of crap still gets to me. I did like the Dye move back than and said he would outperform Ordonez at a cheaper price…. but I didn’t think they would be in the playoffs let alone the series.
This team absolutely has a shot at making the playoffs and if everything goes exactly right… they could win it all. It just is disturbing to me that with the pitching staff we have, we half assed the offense. They could have made another signing or 2 to solidify it… instead the twins made 2 signings to solidify theirs.
My 2010 predictions will be out sometime around march 27th…. but from where i sit right now, I am going to be going with the Twins out of the central and hoping I am wrong. Which is what happened in 2005.
Kenwo4life=ratings
This should be front-paged, WMAQ.
Great job.
I couldn’t figure it out yesterday, but it came to me at 4am. Then I understood the FOGhat, laughed so hard I farted, and went back to bed.
nicely done.
You bring up some great points and some nice comparisons between this club and the ‘05 club. the twins have a pretty good offense and on paper much better than ours. they have some holes too and i think their holes are much worse than ours. their starting pitching has question marks at 1 through 5 and they will likely have the worst defensive outfield in the american league. i think they will miss gomez in center field. 3b is a problem for them and it will be interesting to see how they play on grass.
i look for teahen to have a much better year than most project him to have and i think rios will be a great addition. q’s health is probably the key to our offense this year so we just have to hope he can stay on the field and give us 600 pa’s.
Yesterday I was talking with an acquaintance who is a Twinn fan.
He mentioned the Twinn blogs are up in arms about the hole at 3B, the “unnecessary” Thome signing, and the 3rd OF issue. He did agree they have had a fantastic offseason.
(I buried him in my backyard after the conversation.)
I couldn’t figure it out yesterday, but it came to me at 4am. Then I understood the FOGhat, laughed so hard I farted, and went back to bed.
Jay Marriotti sucks!
Good post though.
Yes.. if a foul ball comes to the dugout, someone will be able to save Harold Baines. That’s great, but I don’t see how that helps us win games. x3 - Grinder In Training
The Marriotti quote was cribbed from an absolutely wonderful smackdown by Eric Zorn
After the Sox won the Series, Zorn charted every Jay flip flop, from November ’04 all the way through the end.
Some more choice quotes:
From June 14, 05:
Will (Ken) Williams recognize his Joe Crede problem and pursue Shea Hillenbrand?….The Sox still don’t have enough offense, and given the struggles of the Yankees and Red Sox, Williams should be driven to spend the necessary money and make the bold deals.
From September 20:
The Sox are deluding themselves if they believe Bobby Jenks — a 270-pound rookie reliever — can stop a historic free-fall. Who do they think he is, Ricky [Wild Thing] Vaughn of “Major League” fame?
I would...
…if he didn’t suggest that Shea Hillenbrand was an upgrade.
EVERYBODY PICK US FOR 3RD OR 4TH SO I DINK WE DOIN POOTY GOO
Sox Machine
true.
but hillenbrand was an all star that year…. and crede was garbage til he came back from injury….
Kenwo4life=ratings
Crede always had the glove.
Hillenbrand gave back some of his offensive value with his defense, and, as you might say, he has the reputation of being a world-class jagoff.
EVERYBODY PICK US FOR 3RD OR 4TH SO I DINK WE DOIN POOTY GOO
Sox Machine
yeah
I was going to say that but didnt want to give the topic of Marriotti any of my typed words.
He is perfect if you need to cite something because you can always find where he backs up your opinion on both sides of the issue.
Yes.. if a foul ball comes to the dugout, someone will be able to save Harold Baines. That’s great, but I don’t see how that helps us win games. x3 - Grinder In Training
ooooh I hated him sooooooo much
Im so happy we won, just to shut him the hell up
RIP Jim Thome 1-25-2010
an AL team not having a DH is like a giraffe fucking a mule. - larry
oh and how bout them Saints!
Yes.. if a foul ball comes to the dugout, someone will be able to save Harold Baines. That’s great, but I don’t see how that helps us win games. x3 - Grinder In Training
I for one, am looking forward to never hearing "Who Dat" again in my lifetime
Drunk Tank Mace
by DrEmilioLizardo on Feb 7, 2010 9:16 PM CST up reply actions
me too. unfortunately that isn't going to happen.
why in the hell do they say who dat anyway. what the fuck? speak proper english. jagoffs.
Kenwo4life=ratings
wikipedia- it exists...
Who dat? is a chant of team support by sports fans, used especially by fans of the New Orleans Saints, an American football team. The entire chant is: “Who dat? Who dat? Who dat say dey gonna beat dem Saints? Who dat? Who dat?”
The chant of “Who Dat?” originated in minstrel shows and vaudeville acts of the late 1800s and early 1900s, and was then taken up by jazz and big band performers in the 1920s and 30s. Later, the New Orleans Saints, an NFL team, adopted a chant similar to the saying of the Cincinnati Bengals, “Who Dey?”. One can also say “Who is that”.
The first reference to “Who Dat?” can be found in the 19th Century. A featured song in E.E. Rice’s “Summer Nights” is the song “Who Dat Say Chicken In dis Crowd”, with lyrics by poet Paul Laurence Dunbar.1 A common tag line in the days of Negro minstrel shows was: “Who dat?” answered by “Who dat say who dat?” Many different blackfaced gags played off that opening. Vaudeville performer Mantan Moreland was known for the routine.1 Another example is “Swing Wedding,” a 1930s Harman-Ising cartoon musical, which caricatured Fats Waller, Cab Calloway, Bill “Bojangles” Robinson, Ethel Waters, and the Mills Brothers as frogs in a swamp performing minstrel show jokes and jazz tunes. The frogs repeatedly used the phrase “who dat?”
In the swing era, “who dat” chants back and forth between the band and the band leader or between the audience and the band were extemporaneous. That is, there was no one specific set of words except for the two magic ones.
“Who Dat?” Lyrics from 1937:
Who dat up there who’s dat down there
Who dat up there who dat well down there
Who’s dat up there, sayin’ who’s dat down there
When I see you up there well who’s dat down there
Who dat inside who’s dat outside
Who’s dat inside who dat well outside
Who’s dat inside, singin’ who’s dat outside
When I see up there well who’s dat out there
Button up your lip there big boy
Stop answerin’ back
Give you a tip there big boy
Announce yourself jack
Who dat up there who’s dat down there
Who dat up there who dat, well down there
Who’s dat up there, singin’ who’s dat down there
When I see you up there you bum
Well who’s dat down there
Who dat
Staged minstrel skits featured frightened African-American characters saying “who dat” when they encountered a ghost, or someone imitating a ghost. Then, the “who dat”-“who dat say who dat” skit would play itself out. This skit was done frequently in short reels from the 1930s – 1950s and in some early TV shows too. Even the Marx Brothers had a “who dat” routine, which they included in their film A Day at the Races.1 Often, a ghost was called a “who dat”. MGM’s now-banned animated character Bosko once had such an encounter in a 1938 toon called “Lil Ol Bosko in Bagdad”.
“Who Dat?” became a familiar joke with soldiers during World War II.
Back in WWII, US fighter squadron pilots would often fly under radio silence. But things get lonely up there in the cockpit, so after a while there’d be a crackle of static as someone keyed his mike. Then a disembodied voice would reply, “Who dat?” An answer would come, “Who dat say who dat?” And another, “Who dat say who dat say who dat?” After a few rounds of this, the squadron commander would grab his microphone and yell, “Cut it out, you guys!” A few moments of silence. Then… “Who dat?”[cite this quote]
[edit] Origins of the “Who Dat?” Chant
“Who Dat” became part of a chant for fans cheering on their favorite team. It has been debated exactly where it started, but some claim it began with Southern University fans either in the late 1960s or early 1970s and went “Who dat say dey gonna beat dem Jags” – Southern University being nicknamed the Jaguars.2 Another claim is that around the same time it began at St. Augustine High School, a historically African-American all boys Catholic high school in New Orleans, and then spread to the New Orleans Public Schools. Another claim is that the cheer originated at Patterson High School in Patterson, Louisiana (home of Saints running back Dalton Hilliard).1 In the late 1970s fans at Alcorn State University and Louisiana State University picked up on the cheer.3 By 1983, the New Orleans Saints organization officially adopted it during the tenure of coach Bum Phillips, and Aaron Neville (along with local musicians Sal and Steve Monistere and Carlo Nuccio) recorded a version of “When the Saints Go Marching In” that incorporated the chant (performed by a group of Saints players) that became a major local hit, due in part to the support of sportscaster Ron Swoboda and the fact that Saints fans had been using the chant already.1
After the Saints won the NFC Championship Game on January 24, 2010, against the Minnesota Vikings in the Superdome, fans from all across New Orleans, including fans who were exiting the game, started a Mardi Gras-style “Who Dat” on Bourbon Street with modified lyrics, chanting, “Who Dat, Who Dat, Who Dat in the Super Bowl!” in reference to the Saints advancing to the Super Bowl for the first time ever in their 43-year history.45
[edit] Who Dat Nation
In recent years the phrase “Who Dat Nation” has become a popular term for the community of Saints fans.678 According to Bobby Hebert, formerly a Saints quarterback and currently a sports commentator in New Orleans, the term “Who Dat Nation” originated after a highly anticipated 2006 game between the Saints and the favored Dallas Cowboys, which the Saints lost; after the game, listeners from a wide geographic range called in to Hebert’s radio show on WWL (AM), and Hebert commented, “Man, there’s a whole Who Dat Nation out there.”9
[edit] Ownership Controversy
In January 2010, the NFL sent cease and desist letters to several Louisiana t-shirt shop owners ordering them to cease producing t-shirts bearing the phrase “Who dat”. According to some recipients of these letters, the NFL was claiming to own the trademark to the term “Who dat”, and that the NFL claimed that unlicensed t-shirts bearing the phrase would cause confusion among fans of the Saints about the official status of the merchandise.10 The Monisteres, through their company WhoDat Inc. also released a statement claiming rights to the phrase, which they registered in 1983 after recording the version of “When the Saints Go Marching In” that incorporated the chant.11 The Monistere’s record is listed as inactive, meaning that it was not renewed upon expiration. The Saints organization, through their company The New Orleans Louisiana Saints Limited Partnership, also registered the mark “Who Dat” in 1988 when used in conjunction with “fleur-de-lis design”,12 but later the Saints released their claim of ownership to WhoDat, Inc., asserting that they owned the phrase.13
In response to what many are calling a “frivolous threat” and “bullying” by the NFL to scare merchants into selling only NFL licensed goods, fans across the nation in various blogs and radio call-in shows are calling for a boycott of all NFL officially licensed merchandise until the NFL formally recanted its position on claiming the “Who Dat?” trademark.[citation needed]
The NFL’s action also provoked responses from U.S. Senator David Vitter and Congressman Charlie Melancon of Louisiana, among others. Vitter sent a formal letter to NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell criticizing the NFL’s attempt to claim ownership of the chant, informing Goodell he would be printing t-shirts using the phrase, and daring the NFL to sue him.14 It was later reported that the NFL had responded to Vitter’s letter, stating that it was only seeking to prevent unauthorized uses of “Who Dat?” together with other identifying marks of the Saints.1516
Louisiana Attorney General Buddy Caldwell called the NFL and had a conversation about the ownership of the “Who Dat” slogan and of the Fleur de Lis. Caldwell said the bottom line from the legal back-and-forth with the league is that the NFL “is conceding it has no exclusive rights to the fleur-de-lis and no exclusive rights to ‘Who Dat’ and offshoots of ‘Who Dat,’ and no exclusive rights to the colors black and gold.”
Drunk Tank Mace
by DrEmilioLizardo on Feb 7, 2010 9:25 PM CST up reply actions 2 recs
i don't care where it started... its fucking dumb.
Kenwo4life=ratings
by KenWo4LiFe on Feb 7, 2010 9:28 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
I'm looking forward to not having to care about New Orleans anymore.
Taj Gibson is the face of Bulls basketball!
by Trey23 on Jan 5, 2010 6:31 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
by Ozzie Montana on Feb 7, 2010 9:23 PM CST up reply actions
Spike Lee is weeping...
Drunk Tank Mace
by DrEmilioLizardo on Feb 7, 2010 9:29 PM CST up reply actions
Regarding the comparison between the '09 and '05 pitching staffs
The 2009 rotation is almost certainly better in a ‘projection’ sort of way, but I would bet against them replicating the ‘05 staff’s numbers. Do people forget just how good the 2005 starting staff was?
Buehrle – 236 IP, 144 ERA+
Garland – 221 IP, 128 ERA+
Garcia – 228 IP, 116 ERA+
Contreras – 204 IP, 125 ERA+
El Duque + B-Mac – ~195 IP, ~95 ERA+
The 2009 staff could have a very good year and still not come close to replicating what the 2005 staff did, not only in quality but in quantity (seriously, those IP totals are ridiculous).
And regarding the whole optimism versus pessimism thing, I’m not pissed at the off-season as a whole. I’m not going overly happy with the Teahen and Pierre moves in particular, but at the same time neither player is likely to be an absolute sink-hole, and there’s some value in having that type of (relative) certainty.
It’s really just the DH move that angers me for several reasons. Mark Kotsay and Andrew Jones simply are not players that should be relied upon as anything more than bench players. Furthermore, there are clear upgrades on the market that are cheap.
I don’t accept the “Jones might break out!” or “he’ll just trade for someone” defenses, either. If Jones breaks out that doesn’t change the equation — why is having too many good players (and thus “not enough at-bats” for those players) a bad thing? Personally I’d rather not see Alejandro De Aza get at-bats for the Sox this year. Regarding the second one, Jim Thome was not going to prevent the Sox from trading for someone like Adrian Gonzalez, and pissing away games in April and May on this non-sense isn’t intelligent.
by CWSKeith on Feb 7, 2010 9:32 PM CST reply actions 1 recs
good point on pitching
those were all career years, but no reason why we cant at least get very close to those numbers
RIP Jim Thome 1-25-2010
an AL team not having a DH is like a giraffe fucking a mule. - larry
Agreed
Whatever marginal benefit may be gained by rotating positional players through the DH spot in terms of health is negated by the fact that those players shouldn’t even be starting regularly in the first place. The plan that the White Sox are embarking upon would make sense if you had many above average hitters that you may have injury concerns about. Instead, we get (hopefully) a few months of the season of a bag of dicks at the DH spot, and then hopefully some sort of change that amounts to less suck.
Additionally, the pitching staff of 2005 did almost all of have career years, however, the pitching staff of 2010 has a chance to be possibly better in my opinion. This mainly has to do with my opinion that Hudson may potentially take the 5th starter role and perform at better than replacement level.
The 2005 bullpen also performed at near career levels from top to bottom also, if I remember correctly. This year’s bullpen probably will be less effective, mainly due to our craptacular inclusion of Linebrink and Randy Williams, who will probably see significant IP for no good reason.
I kind of like Rrrrrandy
as long as he doesn’t face righties.
Best game I ever attended was the 163rd game in 2008. Thanks John Danks and Jim Thome.
by NorthSidePaulie on Feb 8, 2010 2:47 PM CST up reply actions
I've said from he beginning this staff is better than the 05 team
Yes they were ridiculously good. But in the end the difference staff wise will come down to the bullpen matching some of those insane performances. If the starting staff stays healthy they out do last year. Consider the 09 performances with a much worse defense
Buerhle 121 ERA+
Danks 123+
Floyd 114+
Peavy 112+ (93 SD/344 Whitesox)
The oldest of the group is 30. In 05 Garcia, Contreras and OHern were all already pushing that number.
"You're lucky I'm retired"
Jack Bauer
thats asking a lot of the pen that should be really good.
Hermanson went late into the season(June?) without an ERA.
If Jenks does that this year the Sox are in a good place.
Yes.. if a foul ball comes to the dugout, someone will be able to save Harold Baines. That’s great, but I don’t see how that helps us win games. x3 - Grinder In Training
For comparisons sake I'm not really sure the age of the 2005 staff matters
what matters is what numbers they actually put up. It’s certainly reasonable to think that any one of the Sox top four could put throw 200 IP of a 125 ERA+, but projecting the top four to throw 875 IP of a 130 ERA+ is a tough bet. And I want to reiterate that that’s not a knock on the 2010 staff — they’re certainly as good as (almost) any other top four currently constructed. Even so, the above numbers are tough to ask for.
I hear you. And I don't mean to make it sound so easy but which part?
Innings pitched? Because this is just something the White Sox staff’s do well lately. I don’t expect 875 inning but I do see upwards of 825. After the 05 season the top 4 threw 833 in 06, 814 in 07 and 827 in 08. Last year of course had the C & C connection mucking up things, but the other 3 kept pace.
The 130 ERA+ ? Definitely tall order, but I stand behind my belief on this one. At their ages and at this point of their careers I expect something collectively special.
"You're lucky I'm retired"
Jack Bauer
I should add this belief does depend
on us getting the BHB Floyd who seemed to turn the corner after the outing. I’d like to see he and Danks move ahead of Buerhle next year.
"You're lucky I'm retired"
Jack Bauer
Take your pick
you’re asking for a 75th percentile projection here.
And I’ll again say that predicting any one of them to put up 225 IP and a 135 ERA+ isn’t ridiculous — Danks is blister-less, Floyd is big and hairy, Peavy is now with the best training staff and pitching coach (or close to it) in baseball and Buehrle is Buehrle (although if I were to bet on it, I think I’d bet on Buehrle being the worst of the four). But expecting the occurance of all four isn’t something that should be considered or banked on as likely.
Rec'd.
Even if I don’t buy it, I sure do love the optimism. Thank you.
"I call Dotel, got his ass kick. I call Linebrink, got his ass kick. Everybody I call is the wrong guy. I guess it's my fault!"
It would be done against the manager's wishes, which is the reason I am upset.
Taj Gibson is the face of Bulls basketball!
by Trey23 on Jan 5, 2010 6:31 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
by Ozzie Montana on Feb 8, 2010 9:39 AM CST up reply actions
Nice piece 67
Score one for optimism. The Sox have been the preseason favorite once in the past 5 years, in 06. No this doesn’t erase some of the bad feelings of a few moves this winter but it puts in perspective divisions are not won in Feb or March on spreadsheets.
"You're lucky I'm retired"
Jack Bauer
It's February, it's gonna snow tomorrow, so why not join the Sunshine Boys?
The 2009 Sox won 79 games. With a starting rotation that included Bartolo Colon and Jose Contreras, and an opening day lineup that included Josh Fields, Brian Anderson, and DeWayne Wise. That’s got to be enough to push you over the .500 mark, at least.
I’m sick of the speculation, and the hand wringing. I want to see this team on the field.
That first spring training game can’t come soon enough.
"I’m sick of the speculation, and the hand wringing. I want to see this team on the field."
I agree and appreciate your theme in this writeup.
Thanks for the optimism
I’ve been feeling pretty down about the Sox these past few weeks, this was much needed!
hey remember that one time in 2005 that fat rookie claimed off waivers came on to close for the Sox down the stretch?
and then OZzie made a gesture all like ‘this big’ with his arms real wide when he called him in from the pen in the World Series?
that was awesome.
Yes.. if a foul ball comes to the dugout, someone will be able to save Harold Baines. That’s great, but I don’t see how that helps us win games. x3 - Grinder In Training
by e-gus on Feb 8, 2010 9:51 AM CST reply actions 2 recs
Thank You! Thank You! Thank You!
All crystal balls are foggy and filled with dross.
"Sometimes I wonder whether the world is being run by smart people who are putting us on or by imbeciles who really mean it." - Mark Twain
by phastphil on Feb 8, 2010 9:52 AM CST reply actions 1 recs
wrecked for use of the word Dross....
Drunk Tank Mace
by DrEmilioLizardo on Feb 8, 2010 1:09 PM CST up reply actions
2010 looms bright!
And Marriotti’s a fag.
currently sigless
by oahu420 on Feb 8, 2010 10:39 AM CST reply actions 7 recs
rec'd.
...and then some depressed fucked-cake eating.
by homesickalien on Feb 8, 2010 11:22 AM CST up reply actions
I'd prefer they give it to Jenks
one is the loneliest number, but 11 is the most slimming
His name is Rios and he dances on the sand
by Nordhagen on Feb 8, 2010 11:26 AM CST up reply actions 1 recs
my dad is sickened by this.
I don’t like it either. If some asshole were to wear number 3 in the future I’d be pissed
Kenwo4life=ratings
Great Post
That really picked me up off the floor. Obama really overplayed HOPE, but you brought it back…
Blacker then Obama this is
Hell Yesss
by Grinder Rule #42 on Feb 8, 2010 1:53 PM CST reply actions
A comparison to the pre-2005 offseason doesn't fill me with optimism.
The 2004-2005 moves made the team offense worse, not better. In 2004, the White Sox scored 865 runs. In 2005, we scored 741 runs.
Kenny again seems convinced that hobbling our offense is a recipe for success. If we want to win in 2010, we’ll have to win the same way we did in 2005: by lucking into having our starters and bullpen guys all turn in career years. Hey, it happened before, it can happen again. It’s just not something I’m expecting.
Of course, I don’t think the Twins will be fantastic either. There’s usually a pretty dramatic difference between their performance inside the Metrodome and outside it; they’ve got a losing away record in 4 of the last 5 years. Next year, they get zero games in the Dome. Sure, they’ve added some pieces, but there should be plenty of regression from Kubel, Cuddyer, and Mauer, and Young isn’t likely to get it together any time soon. As for their pitching staff? It could very well be a carnival of mediocrity; their plan seems to be to hope that a pack of six or seven #4/#5 starters will somehow equal one full rotation.
by Lone Pawn on Feb 8, 2010 6:56 PM CST reply actions 2 recs
All very good points!
and welcome if you’re new
RIP Jim Thome 1-25-2010
an AL team not having a DH is like a giraffe fucking a mule. - larry
and now they signed Jacque Jones!
fucked we are.
Yes.. if a foul ball comes to the dugout, someone will be able to save Harold Baines. That’s great, but I don’t see how that helps us win games. x3 - Grinder In Training
i kinda like jacque jones.
he got a bad rap on the cubs but he had a pretty decent year.
Kenwo4life=ratings
stress fracture in a vertebrae may lead to some residual problems though.
But who knows. Mauer had a bad back then had a career year
I looked into the Twins "rotation" the other day
it’s a good thing they have a tough offense, because they’re gonna need to score about 7 runs a game to win anything.
by OneOfTheMikes on Feb 9, 2010 11:51 AM CST up reply actions
I expect Baker and Slowey in particular to be especially bad next year.
Each have an GB/FB rate of .52 (average is .78). Heavy flyballers. Now look at what they’re trotting out there in the outfield:
Young UZR/150: -25.6.
Span UZR/150: -7.4.
Cuddyer UZR/150: -22.1.
Target Field is going to see a lot of doubles when the gray jerseys are up to bat. Sure, the Twins have a decent infield defense, but they don’t have any groundball pitchers and their outfield defense is atrocious. I think the Twins have spent so long struggling to get reliable offensive production (and coasting on a reputation for “doing the little things right”) that they haven’t even considered the importance of run prevention. I think that’s very well might bite them in the ass this year.
If we could just get a damn DH, I think this division will still be very winnable.
by Lone Pawn on Feb 9, 2010 7:52 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
good call
Other than hardy, their infield defense is a whole lot of average or below too. I would not trade our 25 man roster for theirs.
I might trade 10 of our roster for one of theirs.
I couldn’t figure it out yesterday, but it came to me at 4am. Then I understood the FOGhat, laughed so hard I farted, and went back to bed.
not to mention kubel,
who may get some time out in the outfield so ji jim thome can dh. He has posted a UZR/150 of -18.7 in his career in the OF.
I’d like to thank you for talking me away from the cliff a bit. The Twins are still good, but I think that in all of our pessimism we have started to overvalue that club, and not realize that they have some major question marks as well.
That being said, I still think that they are the favorites in this division, but I think it can and will be close.
bird law in this country is not ruled by reason
by soxshenanigans on Feb 9, 2010 8:38 PM CST up reply actions
You can't cite single season UZRs
and call them accurate.
I'd rather have Rios steal 50 bases than hit 50 home runs. I want production.
jives with multi-season totals, though.
of course, people seem to forget that punto is kind of a good defender. their infield defense is going to be above average.
also, those aren’t the gb/fb rates for those pitchers, though the underlying point about them being flyball pitchers remains.
I pulled 'em off baseball-reference.com.
Are you seeing something different, or am I making a boneheaded mistake of some sort?
which is probably appropriate
since scorer bias has been found in LD/FB numbers
I'd rather have Rios steal 50 bases than hit 50 home runs. I want production.
i was thinking of span specifically
their corners will suck though.
I'd rather have Rios steal 50 bases than hit 50 home runs. I want production.
Jeter's UZR is improving.
;)
I couldn’t figure it out yesterday, but it came to me at 4am. Then I understood the FOGhat, laughed so hard I farted, and went back to bed.
Rowand must've roided up for '04
310/361/544, 130 OPS +
2007 never happened!
The world needs the Jedi now more than ever
Great read
Sorry the blizzard kept me off the board so long.
The Cubs are not a baseball team. They are a baseball-themed marketing company that hosts frat parties for post grads and tourists.
I'm glad that some of you guys can embrace optimism...
I posted a link to this article on the whitesox.com board and the responses sound like they’re having a “most negative fan on earth” contest.
we were pretty nasty when Thome went to the twins...
RIP Jim Thome 1-25-2010
an AL team not having a DH is like a giraffe fucking a mule. - larry
the vitriol
was before and after. this is the eye of the storm.
I'd rather have Rios steal 50 bases than hit 50 home runs. I want production.
If Thome hits 30 taters in Minnesota
you’re going to see me rant like Dennis Leary channeling Lewis Black on a psychotropic bender with George Carlin and Dennis Miller in Branson, Missouri.
South Side Hitman... employed and on assignment: Hate-fucking Cubs fans in their own houses since 1977.
by The Hooligan on Feb 16, 2010 2:20 AM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Except for the misspell of Leary's first name,
this is excellent. I can tell you are a peer.
I couldn’t figure it out yesterday, but it came to me at 4am. Then I understood the FOGhat, laughed so hard I farted, and went back to bed.
The 'N'
must have stuck. I don’t know how that could have happened to my keyboard. No idea at all.
South Side Hitman... employed and on assignment: Hate-fucking Cubs fans in their own houses since 1977.
by The Hooligan on Feb 16, 2010 9:54 AM CST up reply actions
What did I miss, Editor Emeritus?
I couldn’t figure it out yesterday, but it came to me at 4am. Then I understood the FOGhat, laughed so hard I farted, and went back to bed.
He's as much of a peer because of the misspelling.
EVERYBODY PICK US FOR 3RD OR 4TH SO I DINK WE DOIN POOTY GOO
Sox Machine
You suck.
I’m sort of improving. Just like the Sox’ defense.
But I know how to spell Dennis or Denis. I think you know why.
I couldn’t figure it out yesterday, but it came to me at 4am. Then I understood the FOGhat, laughed so hard I farted, and went back to bed.
I'd buy a ticket to your rant.
...and then some depressed fucked-cake eating.
by homesickalien on Feb 16, 2010 11:20 AM CST up reply actions

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