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Around SBN: Leandro Damiao Is Still Really Good

Alex Rios Community Projection

Upgrade to Windows 7 completed. Time to roll out another community projection. This time, Alex Rios.

After getting off to a slow start, Alex is having himself a pretty nice spring, hitting over .300 and slugging over .700. Most importantly, he seems to be seeing the ball much better than in his brief run with the White Sox in '09, striking out only twice.

Year Age AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG
2006 25 450 68 136 33 6 17 82 15 6 35 89 .302 .349 .516
2007 26 643 114 191 43 7 24 85 17 4 55 103 .297 .354 .498
2008 27 635 91 185 47 8 15 79 32 8 44 112 .291 .337 .461
2009 28 582 63 144 31 2 17 71 24 5 37 107 .247 .296 .395
6 Seasons 3217 462 904 201 36 84 404 117 35 230 596 .281 .330 .444
162 Game Avg. 613 88 172 38 7 16 77 22 7 44 114 .281 .330 .444
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 3/22/2010.

I'm pretty sure most of you will have Rios posting better numbers than the .530 OPS he put up in his time in black, but just how far do you have him rebounding? Can he reach his former All-Star level of production?

Fill out the form after the jump to participate in our community projection...

Star-divide

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what a shame

that guy used to be good.

by Hatchetm on Mar 22, 2010 3:43 PM CDT reply actions  

Damn

even if he “only” rebounds to his 2008 totals, he’s a 4.5-5 WAR player (I’m cutting down on his stellar defensive numbers, which might very well be unfair and arbitrary). Was Rowand even 4 WAR in 2005? (Looking it up — no, not event the Legend was 4 WAR in 2005.)

His bounceback is easily more important than Quentin’s. If Quentin proves to be nothing more than a bad defensive slugger who can’t stay healthy, that certainly sucks for the Sox but the Sox are still on year-to-year deals with him as opposed to $50 million over five years (or whatever it is).

by CWSKeith on Mar 22, 2010 3:52 PM CDT reply actions  

i'll take cautious optimism for the win

.280/.340/.450, +0/150 CF ~ 3 WAR

I'd rather have Rios steal 50 bases than hit 50 home runs. I want production.

by colintj on Mar 22, 2010 3:54 PM CDT reply actions  

thats what I did

I tried to be more pessimistic than the others

although I did give him 50 stolen bases

RIP Jim Thome 1-25-2010

an AL team not having a DH is like a giraffe fucking a mule. - larry

by blackoutsox on Mar 22, 2010 4:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

i think i had something around

.290/.350/.480 with 22 hr, 22 sb, 36 2b… dunno how that exactly works with the triple slash… i’m guessing it probably doesn’t.

Doesn’t seem very moral to me. Might as well take Satan’s autograph while you’re at it. - N.C.

by Illini0509 on Mar 22, 2010 4:30 PM CDT up reply actions  

Update.

8 hits, 4 2B, 1 3B, 1 HR.

by ballyb on Mar 22, 2010 4:01 PM CDT reply actions  

Update, 3.0 IP.

10 hits, 4 2B, 1 3B, 1 HR.

This guy fucking stinks.

by ballyb on Mar 22, 2010 4:10 PM CDT reply actions  

cut him

RIP Jim Thome 1-25-2010

an AL team not having a DH is like a giraffe fucking a mule. - larry

by blackoutsox on Mar 22, 2010 4:24 PM CDT up reply actions  

only threw 8 pitches.

i assume the reason he threw so few pitches was due to lack of conditioning. mid-season bobby is unable to get out of an inning without throwing at least 20. saving himself.

by larry on Mar 22, 2010 4:54 PM CDT up reply actions  

ship him to SF to join the other fatso's

"Jenks, who was never afraid to say "no" to a hamburger..."

by BobbySouthSide on Mar 22, 2010 8:40 PM CDT up reply actions  

lack of conditioning my eyeball !

2010 WhiteSox Baseball: "even if it works it's still stupid"

by OznCoop on Mar 23, 2010 8:54 AM CDT up reply actions  

Peavy threw 74 pitches in the game and another 21 in the bullpen to get up to 95. Said of the 74 he threw against KC, 71 were fastballs.

http://twitter.com/cst_sox/status/10892242674

by The Cheat on Mar 22, 2010 4:57 PM CDT up reply actions  

no, no, no.

that’s exactly the problem. if you throw 95% fastballs, they are going to start looking for it. no, he’s doing it all wrong. he needs to mix it up with other pitches.

Cashing checks and having sex.

by MarketMaker on Mar 22, 2010 5:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

What, like a slowball?

Why would you throw slow when you can throw fast?

by The Actual El Guapo on Mar 22, 2010 6:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

It's just like how I rhyme.

Sometimes I rhyme slow, sometimes I rhyme quick.

i don't fuck corned beef.
which is why i don’t eat at subway. by larry on Mar 17

by South Side Expat on Mar 22, 2010 7:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

you are my complement

BWAHAHAHAHA!!!

FUCK EVYTHING BACON RULZ WEER GONNA WIN TEH CHAMPSHIOP
...colintj, Nov8, 2009

by rhythm on Mar 24, 2010 9:12 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

i think he will have a good year....

of course i was high on bringing him here… so he better have a good year so he doesn’t spoil my reputation as a top notch baseball scout.

Kenwo4life=ratings

by KenWo4LiFe on Mar 22, 2010 4:46 PM CDT reply actions  

he is?

Cashing checks and having sex.

by MarketMaker on Mar 22, 2010 5:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

Jones?

"April showers bring May flowers and May flowers bring mathematical elimination day to Kansas City".--- Joe Pos

by Chiburb on Mar 22, 2010 5:33 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

you call him dr. jones, doll.

These events have me frightened and on the verge of evacuating my bowels.

by thatshortkid on Mar 22, 2010 5:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

hey now thats not true.

i endorse gordon beckham and jake peavy fully…. Ron Kittle is my all time favorite player… LaMarr Hoyt and Bobby Thigpen are my favorite starter and reliever!

Kenwo4life=ratings

by KenWo4LiFe on Mar 22, 2010 10:51 PM CDT up reply actions  

I went pretty low in raw numbers due to my distrust of Ozzie's use of CFers

So I only had Rios with 525 ABs.

Oh, and MLBAT2010 has finally activated Gameday.

"April showers bring May flowers and May flowers bring mathematical elimination day to Kansas City".--- Joe Pos

by Chiburb on Mar 22, 2010 5:32 PM CDT via mobile reply actions  

This is probably the most optimistic of my projections so far

about .290/.345/.470.

You guys win. You can keep your little marked-out piece of internet territory. Spend your days communicating via keyboard with people too ugly for the real world and too nerdy for anyone to care, anyway. Your piece of land is here. Do the rest of civilization a favor and stay within its limits. You bore me. Have fun with your nightly sobs and screams into your pillow over your inability to attract a good mate, Radiohead. ~The Hooligan

by Daniel Berlyn on Mar 22, 2010 6:51 PM CDT reply actions  

Wow.

Not me. .260/.330/.450.

He's a cunning Jew. by Ozzie Montana on Mar 13, 2010 3:30 PM EST

by winningugly on Mar 22, 2010 7:04 PM CDT up reply actions  

Just a speed bump last year

.288/.349/.490

"Have fun with those stats buddy"

"I still don’t see where what I said in my comments isn’t true. But hey a man gotta have his stats."

by Dils

by Tdogg on Mar 22, 2010 7:26 PM CDT reply actions  

Other than avg. (which we know is indicative of nothing)

2008 was a pretty significant slide from ’07. The trend is not your friend here.

He's a cunning Jew. by Ozzie Montana on Mar 13, 2010 3:30 PM EST

by winningugly on Mar 22, 2010 7:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

"The trend is not your friend here."

Cute saying. It might apply to the markets.

by ballyb on Mar 22, 2010 7:40 PM CDT up reply actions  

stop it no it wasn't

2006 wOBA .365
2007 wOBA .368
2008 wOBA .350

That is not significant. This has been debunked a few times.

"Have fun with those stats buddy"

"I still don’t see where what I said in my comments isn’t true. But hey a man gotta have his stats."

by Dils

by Tdogg on Mar 22, 2010 7:41 PM CDT up reply actions  

Add 2009.

Looks like he plateaued in 2007. 5% reduction in ‘08, disasterous ’09. I don’t think he’ll keep falling, and is due a rebound, but back to almost ’07 is awfully optimistic. On what do you base this?

Also, do you agree on the ’Druw/Edmonds deathmatch?

He's a cunning Jew. by Ozzie Montana on Mar 13, 2010 3:30 PM EST

by winningugly on Mar 22, 2010 7:49 PM CDT up reply actions  

yes its on

bring it

"Have fun with those stats buddy"

"I still don’t see where what I said in my comments isn’t true. But hey a man gotta have his stats."

by Dils

by Tdogg on Mar 22, 2010 9:07 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

na'avi porn?

These events have me frightened and on the verge of evacuating my bowels.

by thatshortkid on Mar 23, 2010 1:14 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

It's coming...

Hustler to Make “Avatar” Porn Movie

i don't fuck corned beef.
which is why i don’t eat at subway. by larry on Mar 17

by South Side Expat on Mar 23, 2010 2:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

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