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White Sox righties reversing the flow

Chicago has a history of reversing things. (FaceMePLS / Flickr)

Chicago is no stranger to guys who know how to pull off incredible reversals, and the South Side had three Rudolph Herings on their pitching staff last season.

I've been working on finishing up the player previews for White Sox Outsider 2011, and there's one trend I'm seeing that caught me completely by surprise -- right-handed pitchers who are more effective against left-handed hitters.

More specifically, righties who used to get whomped by lefties are now retiring them with more ease than their right-handed counterparts.

Three examples:

No. 1: Gavin Floyd

  2008 PA 2009 PA 2010 PA
LHB .259/.340/.485 427 .232/.295/.385 419 .259/.312/.361 439
RHB .226/.279/.380 451 .256/.307/.372 378 .292/.354/.422 359

Floyd had problems against lefties in 2008, but he erased the divide in 2009. Still, that didn't prevent teams from loading up on lefties in 2010, and all Floyd did was reverse the split entirely.

The rise in his ability to retire lefties correlates nicely with the effectiveness of his slider, especially if Pitch f/x mistakenly IDs his slider as a cutter (paging Colin for confirmation). But when lefties are getting more and more cracks at him, I wonder if he's seeing a dilution of hitting talent, with teams using an uneven platoon against him just for handedness' sake - like, Jerry Owens-caliber talent.

The Minnesota Twins serve as a counterexample. Floyd had nothing against the Twins last year, losing all four starts with an 8.04 ERA. He can't blame the slow start, because they never met until after the All-Star break. The Twins simply have a lot of left-handed hitters, and they're all legit.

Star-divide

No. 2: Tony Pena

  2008 PA 2009 PA 2010 PA
LHB .296/.340/.467 150 .288/.378/.500 135 .244/.354/.356 215
RHB .267/.309/.387 163 .280/.297/.357 177 .308/.349/.466 230

Unlike Floyd, Pena's process hasn't been a gradual one. His splits had widened for years, and all of a sudden -- bam! -- it's the right-handed hitters who are doing the pounding.

In this case, it seems to me that cowardice has its virtues. Pena was a fraidy-cat against lefties, as evidenced by the walk-to-strikeout issues (30 BB, 25 K), and the fact that he walked them twice as often as he did righties. BABIP also had a big split, although it stands to reason that if he's nibbling so much, the contact might be weaker.

It worked for him because he rarely pitched in anything resembling high leverage, but I wouldn't count on this working for him with the bases loaded in a tight game.

No. 3: Sergio Santos

2010 PA
LHB .207/.293/.220 92
RHP .298/.390/.421 143

You'd think that with Santos' fastball-slider combo that he would be death to righties, but as Colin pointed out, his changeup is pretty good, and it aligned perfectly with his low-and-away-at-all-costs beginner's-kit approach. Sample size is also in play, but BABIP (.304) isn't.

It'll be interesting to watch what Santos does against lefties. I'm guessing the splits won't be this severe, but he could be a guy like Scott Linebrink -- no, not in that way, calm down -- where he's naturally predisposed to getting lefties out a little bit better.

But if he somehow maintains this split ... and if Tony Pena induces a lot of unimpressive contact amid the walks ... and Chris Sale and Matt Thornton are both in the bullpen ... then why is Will Ohman here again?

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Ohman

Because AJ said it was extremely important and Ozzie needed a LOOGY that he could bring in to face a lefty in a high leverage situation and then leave in to face three righties by ‘accident’ on numerous occasions. BRING ON THE SNOW!

"Good teams win games. Bad teams have meetings."

by BobbySouthSide on Jan 31, 2011 7:45 AM CST via mobile reply actions  

No surprise

Based on the title of this article today I would have immediately guessed Santos was one of the guys, his changeup was filthy on occassion and a righty with that type of release and movement on a changeup is devastating on lefties. Kinda surprised that righties still hit him that well though… definitely something to keep an eye on as he enters more of a setup roll this year and ozzie has been known to ignor certain trends in the numbers.

by Knoxfire30 on Jan 31, 2011 8:27 AM CST reply actions  

That's what I figured

Thank you for doing the dirty work.

THIS NEW ARRANGEMENT SHOULD BE POOTY GOO

by Jim Margalus on Jan 31, 2011 2:29 PM CST up reply actions  

Do Minnesota pirhanas count as an invasive species?

Will Don Cooper have to re-reverse the flow and close the bullpen gates now that Crain has been spotted at US Cellular Field?

And when will we demand that the team disinfect Mark Teahan before releasing him into the environment?

by asinwreck on Jan 31, 2011 2:09 PM CST reply actions  

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