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Time for Beckham to take the lead

The calls for Juan Pierre's job are growing so loud, his last name may as well be "Weiner."

(And now I find out that there isn't a .gif of Kevin Eubanks laughing. Internet, you have let me down.)

Of course, there's one big problem with replacing Pierre with Dayan Viciedo. It's not our problem, and in a perfect world, it wouldn't be anybody's problem. Alas, there's one person who has this problem, and he happens to fill out the lineup card:

If Pierre were gone, who would play the Leadoff Position?

After all, the nontraditional leadoff hitter paralyzed the South Side back in 2008, and clearly everybody's still coping with the aftereffects. Nick Swisher led off for the Sox for a little more than a month. He carried a .400+ OBP for the first three weeks of the season before suddenly realizing he couldn't hit leadoff. Or maybe he's just a naturally streaky hitter who stopped hitting. You tell me.

Orlando Cabrera, who said he didn't like hitting first, made the jump from the No. 2 spot and didn't hurt the team. A.J. Pierzynski, who doesn't even set the table at home, hit second the rest of the year. Was it ideal? No. Did it prevent the Sox from reaching the playoffs? No.

What everybody should have learned is that there are only two real requirements for hitting first:

  1. Be a credible major-league hitter.
  2. Be able to go from first to third on a single once in a while.

But Guillen's definitions are still more restrictive. It seems like he only considers three White Sox capable of hitting in the top two spots, and one of them squandered his opportunity even worse than Pierre. Perhaps if he made a stronger case, Guillen might be up for a game of Musical Chairs.

And that's why I'm looking at Gordon Beckham.

Star-divide

 

This isn't really about batting Beckham leadoff, because Beckham doesn't want to bat leadoff. This was well-established in the days leading up to and after the Juan Pierre trade in December of 2009. His reaction:

"They probably didn't want me to run or bunt a bunch," said Beckham of the difference in leading off, a responsibility he never discussed with the White Sox during the offseason. "I don't think they wanted me to be a guy I'm not.

"Even though I think they were OK with me leading off, I thought for sure they were going to get somebody. I was willing to do it if it was the last option we had, but I just didn't fit really well there.

"Now, it doesn't matter where I hit," Beckham said. "If they want me to drive in more runs, they probably will hit me lower in the order. If they want me to get on base more, they probably will hit me second."

If I cared about trying to convince Beckham that he could be a good leadoff hitter, I'd print out this article and meet him at a Starbucks to over it together with a highlighter. Reviewing the way history has unfurled since could assuage many of his concerns, like:

  1. They aren't getting much running from Pierre at the leadoff spot now.
  2. They aren't getting much out of bunting from Pierre at the leadoff spot now.
  3. Beckham probably bunted way more hitting second than he ever would batting first.
  4. Beckham is hitting lower in the order, all right -- low enough to drive in all of 49 runs in 2010.
  5. Pierre had 47 RBI batting leadoff in 2010.

At this point in our imaginary kaffeeklatsch, I would tell Beckham, "Congratulations, you and your awesome run-producing skills drove in two whole runs more than Captain Mister Bunts-All-The-Time." And then I would ask Beckham if he knew how many RBI he was on pace for in 2011. I imagine that he wouldn't know.

And here's where I would drop the bomb and tell him: 49.

This bit of news catches him off guard. His eyes drift down to the packet of Equal in his hands. He begins rotating it, folding and unfolding it, saying nothing. After a few beats, I pull my chair away from the table, and say, "If this is the guy you are, maybe it's time to be the guy you're not." Then I stand up, drum my knuckles on the table twice, and leave Beckham alone with the coffee I paid for.

And sceeeeeeeene.

Star-divide

But once again, this isn't about demanding that Gordon Beckham bats leadoff. Here's what it is about.

Beckham bottomed out on April 30, as an 0-for-4 day sent his triple-slash line plummeting to .194/.238/.296. While his overall numbers may not reflect it, Beckham has been fine since. He's hitting .283 since the beginning of May, with an OBP of .364. But because he once again crapped the bed at the start of the season, he's still hitting eighth.

At this moment, that batting average is used to drive in guys who haven't got on base (Adam Dunn and Alex Rios). That on-base percentage sets the table for noted run producers Brent Morel and Juan Pierre.

We can talk about how Pierre could be marginalized or moved, demoted or defenestrated, but Beckham's situation plays a big part in any subsequent plans. Right now, it's like the Sox took their rhythm guitarist and made him their roadie. Instead of providing a bridge between the front of the stage and the back, he's relegating to working when nobody's paying attention. As far as anybody cares to know, he's just more or less along for the ride.

Batting Beckham eighth is a doubly poor use of talent -- it's a waste of his production, and he's still using a handicapped tag when he stopped limping weeks ago.

On paper, he probably should hit leadoff. But this isn't about him batting leadoff, because that scares too many people. He just needs to do more. He could hit second, with Alexei Ramirez moving up to the top. Or he could bat fifth instead of A.J. Pierzynski, or sixth instead of Alex Rios. It really doesn't matter, as long as Beckham isn't being hidden among the glove-first guys and rookies attempting to hold their own.

Guillen might be gun-shy about placing more on Beckham's plate, because Beckham has fumbled his two previous opportunities at a greater role. But there's no use in protecting him anymore. Half the lineup is in a fragile state, and Beckham might be sturdier than the rest.

Either way, it's time to discover once and for all what Beckham truly can do. Maybe he sinks, maybe he swims, but even in the worst-case scenario, the Sox get more out of watching him gurgle and blub instead of what Pierre's doing now. He's one of the few guys on this team that could be considered a fixture of "the future," and while it's quite possible that he shouldn't be that high a priority, the Sox need to find out one way or another.

Comment 72 comments  |  3 recs  | 

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id be shocked if they move pierre. nobody wants viciedo more than i do-

but pierre is ozzie’s guy and ozzie will fight to the finish with him. our only chance for any of this is if pierre hurts himself.

Kenwo4life=ratings. Just call me Mr. USA Today.

by KenWo4LiFe on Jun 16, 2011 7:45 AM CDT reply actions  

Or if someone hurts him for us.

Surely ONE of you must know “a guy.”

Reporter: I was wondering if at any point in my lifetime the Cubs weren't going to be run by a guy who didn't immediately remind me of failure, confusion, or imminent death

by Hazymania on Jun 16, 2011 12:06 PM CDT up reply actions  

Very nice piece, Jim.

I hadn’t thought about moving Beckham before, and agree. It couldn’t hurt, so, really…give it a shot. But KenWo’s right, Pierre is only out if he gets hurt.

AJ Pierzynski: You have to want to catch.

by 2ndHalfAdjustments on Jun 16, 2011 7:50 AM CDT reply actions  

Should be retitled: Beckham take the wheel

"You go up there, against a dog-ass line up AND pitcher, and you don’t do a fucking thing with it. They whip your silly, sorry, saggy ass AGAIN, and you look like fucking bottom-ass, bitch-ass chumps doing it." - 2HA

by Shoeless In SC on Jun 16, 2011 7:53 AM CDT reply actions  

The new ... way?

Whales! Squids! Sharks! They're everywhere! Hello, I am Poseidon! Now, when people told me I was crazy that thinly sliced roast beef would be a delicious fast-food option, I knew it was the greatest idea, and you can thank me later for Arby's.

by Jim Margalus on Jun 16, 2011 9:50 AM CDT up reply actions  

Wet Hot American Summer.

Whales! Squids! Sharks! They're everywhere! Hello, I am Poseidon! Now, when people told me I was crazy that thinly sliced roast beef would be a delicious fast-food option, I knew it was the greatest idea, and you can thank me later for Arby's.

by Jim Margalus on Jun 16, 2011 10:59 AM CDT up reply actions  

must see

I am a lutheran simpleton fuckwit - bobpuller

by Rhubarb on Jun 16, 2011 11:00 AM CDT up reply actions  

most definitely must see.

not much of a plot, but that’s kinda the appeal. Kind of like Dazed and Confused.

"You go up there, against a dog-ass line up AND pitcher, and you don’t do a fucking thing with it. They whip your silly, sorry, saggy ass AGAIN, and you look like fucking bottom-ass, bitch-ass chumps doing it." - 2HA

by Shoeless In SC on Jun 16, 2011 11:24 AM CDT up reply actions  

I think the only reason Ozzie would consider the move

Is due to how many games Pierre lost us with his glove. He doesn’t offer us a damn thing out there at this point. I called for his removal before the season, so I’m biased, but what the hell does he bring to the table at this point? Lillibridge, Vizquel, Viciedo, I don’t give a shit who it is, Jordan Danks, anybody but Pierre out there in left is fine with me.

by Grinder in Training on Jun 16, 2011 7:54 AM CDT reply actions  

Good piece, Boss.

Becks needs to grow up, and grow up fast. He is the logical choice to set the table. I’d like to see him hit the fastball more consistently, but whatthehell.

And despite his prodigious, powerful display,Battling loneliness, rage, misery
There really isn’t much else left to say.

by winningugly on Jun 16, 2011 8:14 AM CDT reply actions  

In that order, yes.

AJ Pierzynski: You have to want to catch.

by 2ndHalfAdjustments on Jun 16, 2011 8:43 AM CDT up reply actions  

No Eubanks

But if Pierre could run that well, we wouldn’t need the defenestration.

"What do you mean?" he answered. "I love the Outfield!"

by madopal on Jun 16, 2011 8:48 AM CDT up reply actions  

wtf is this?

"You go up there, against a dog-ass line up AND pitcher, and you don’t do a fucking thing with it. They whip your silly, sorry, saggy ass AGAIN, and you look like fucking bottom-ass, bitch-ass chumps doing it." - 2HA

by Shoeless In SC on Jun 16, 2011 10:23 AM CDT up reply actions  

btrw, what do you think of my sig?

I guess more importantly… what do the mods think of my sig? :)

"You go up there, against a dog-ass line up AND pitcher, and you don’t do a fucking thing with it. They whip your silly, sorry, saggy ass AGAIN, and you look like fucking bottom-ass, bitch-ass chumps doing it." - 2HA

by Shoeless In SC on Jun 16, 2011 11:25 AM CDT up reply actions  

Decapitated.

Reporter: I was wondering if at any point in my lifetime the Cubs weren't going to be run by a guy who didn't immediately remind me of failure, confusion, or imminent death

by Hazymania on Jun 16, 2011 12:07 PM CDT up reply actions  

Here's some good news:

We got a special guest for tomorrow.

Whales! Squids! Sharks! They're everywhere! Hello, I am Poseidon! Now, when people told me I was crazy that thinly sliced roast beef would be a delicious fast-food option, I knew it was the greatest idea, and you can thank me later for Arby's.

by Jim Margalus on Jun 16, 2011 10:05 AM CDT reply actions  

Kurby?

AJ Pierzynski: You have to want to catch.

by 2ndHalfAdjustments on Jun 16, 2011 10:07 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

MPD

I am a lutheran simpleton fuckwit - bobpuller

by Rhubarb on Jun 16, 2011 10:10 AM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

Forgive my ignorance...

huh?

AJ Pierzynski: You have to want to catch.

by 2ndHalfAdjustments on Jun 16, 2011 10:30 AM CDT up reply actions  

The gumshoes from up nort.

I am a lutheran simpleton fuckwit - bobpuller

by Rhubarb on Jun 16, 2011 10:30 AM CDT up reply actions  

`

AJ Pierzynski: You have to want to catch.

by 2ndHalfAdjustments on Jun 16, 2011 10:32 AM CDT up reply actions  

razor shines?

sunshiney craig's comment about me has had the effect of rendering me too self conscious to maintain my public exhibition of ennui.

by BuehrleMan on Jun 16, 2011 10:10 AM CDT up reply actions  

Daniel Hudson?

What?! I ain't no Professor Pickles!

by 67WMAQ on Jun 16, 2011 10:18 AM CDT up reply actions  

maria bartiromo?

Some people get so rich they lose all respect for humanity. That's how rich I want to be.

by MarketMaker on Jun 16, 2011 10:40 AM CDT up reply actions  

FMB.

sunshiney craig's comment about me has had the effect of rendering me too self conscious to maintain my public exhibition of ennui.

by BuehrleMan on Jun 16, 2011 10:46 AM CDT up reply actions  

yep. i do not like her fatass.

Some people get so rich they lose all respect for humanity. That's how rich I want to be.

by MarketMaker on Jun 16, 2011 11:22 AM CDT up reply actions  

gary walker?

I'd just as soon never hear another word from that fluttering asswheel. - RWShow

by blackoutsox on Jun 16, 2011 3:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

The white sox irritate me

"Rooting for the Twins is just a roundabout way of rooting for a first-round playoff bye for the Yankees." by big_fun

by Tdogg on Jun 16, 2011 10:15 AM CDT via mobile reply actions  

tell me all about it please

I would like to play the role of psychiatrist today. One warning, I will probably prescribe you cocaine.

I am a lutheran simpleton fuckwit - bobpuller

by Rhubarb on Jun 16, 2011 10:31 AM CDT up reply actions  

Anybody but Pierre!

Why nor Morel? How about Paulie, after all he has the best OBP – Oh! -I forgot that speed thing. If Rios were to be lead-off at least he wouldn’t hit into a double play once a game.
I vote to bring Viciedo up, start him in left and lead-off with whoever.

"Sometimes I wonder whether the world is being run by smart people who are putting us on or by imbeciles who really mean it." - Mark Twain

by phastphil on Jun 16, 2011 10:43 AM CDT reply actions  

F this, I'm playin hooky.

Leaving work to go to the game right meow.

by ScottyPods Ver2.0 on Jun 16, 2011 11:26 AM CDT reply actions  

Beckham seems to be the only real answer

unless Ozzie could be convinced to go Tom Tango on us and run out Alexei, Q!, Rios, Konerko, and Dunn in that order

by Barold on Jun 16, 2011 11:38 AM CDT reply actions  

Rios?

Did Tom Tango advocate putting your worst hitter third?

by joewho112 on Jun 16, 2011 11:47 AM CDT up reply actions  

Fifth or sixth best hitter is supposed to hit third IIRC

Something like that. What Barold is suggesting is probably not too far from what The Book would recommend, depending on how bullish or bearish one is on Beckham.

a VERY AVERAGE Sox Machine refugee

by big_fun on Jun 16, 2011 11:53 AM CDT up reply actions  

a .654 OPS this month.

He’s making progress.

"You go up there, against a dog-ass line up AND pitcher, and you don’t do a fucking thing with it. They whip your silly, sorry, saggy ass AGAIN, and you look like fucking bottom-ass, bitch-ass chumps doing it." - 2HA

by Shoeless In SC on Jun 16, 2011 12:28 PM CDT up reply actions  

in re: Alex Rios

"You go up there, against a dog-ass line up AND pitcher, and you don’t do a fucking thing with it. They whip your silly, sorry, saggy ass AGAIN, and you look like fucking bottom-ass, bitch-ass chumps doing it." - 2HA

by Shoeless In SC on Jun 16, 2011 12:28 PM CDT up reply actions  

Put out an APB for ABP

It’s not robbing Peter to pay Paul — it’s bludgeoning Peter to death, and then realizing on the way back that you forgot to grab his wallet.

by SonOfCron on Jun 16, 2011 2:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

I like this.

the giraffe has struck Adam Dunn out. -South Side Expat

by Uribe Down on Jun 16, 2011 7:59 PM CDT up reply actions  

Pocket race cards

One of my passions in life is defending Mr. Pierre from racism. At first he was just another black American ball player inexplicably booed out of wrigley, but for whatever reason the hatred of him seems to go beyond even the expected cubby racism. Unlike LaTroy, Jacque, Dusty, Milton, etc, JP is hated by fans he’s never played for. Maybe it’s b/c he’s such an unimpressive physical specimen and has to work so hard to be where he is that white americans resent him for being . . . a white athlete? I dunno, not what I’m concerned with here.
This post and the comments show Sox fans are no stranger to unnecessarily focused and overly harsh criticism of JP. First of all, Becks’ 364 OBP since May is only .41 points higher than JP’s for the season. If the leadoff gets 400 more PAs (JP is at 300 now), that’ll equate to 16 more trips to/past first for Becks if they keep at this pace. Of course to bet that an inconsistent youngster will keep up numbers above his career avgs and bet that a pretty consistent vet will perform below his career avgs would be two bad bets, or together one stupid bet. So in the end we’ve got a stupid bet that putting Becks at 1 will give you 16 more baserunners. Why this stupid bet is worth a post is beyond me. If I were Ozzie Bonerko would be leading off. That is an argument. Becks would probably self-destruct at leadoff.
As if that isn’t enough, there have been multiple jokes about putting a hit out on JP and “anything but JP” comments. How many jokes have their been about putting a hit out on Dunn? Anyone but JP? You want Dunn leading off? Why is there so much JP hating? What did he so to you that countless other athletes haven’t done before and/or aren’t currently doing? Leadoff isn’t in the top 20 for problems with this team.

by jermainesjerman on Jun 16, 2011 3:01 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

if you want to be accurate, you should distinguish them as a youngster that should be improving and a veteran nearing the end of his career.

i think you are reading too much into it and you are not using decent comparisons. why would white sox fans want a hit on dunn? the man has to produce for them to win. if pierre produces to career norms it really doesn’t make much difference. dunn isn’t blocking anyone in the minors. juan is blocking viciedo.
the main reason he is drawing so much ire is because he blew two games at the start of the season and the team slumped heavily thereafter. you can argue the fairness of that, absolutely, but i think you are looking for something that (hopefully on the whole) isn’t there.

by craigws on Jun 16, 2011 3:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

let's do some quick math.

juan pierre’s wOBA is .281. gordon beckham is at .303. let’s assume no improvement from either the rest of the way. let’s assume league average wOBA will be .320. and let’s assume 400 PA for each going forward.

juan pierre would be 13.5 runs below average. gordon beckham would be 6 runs below average. that’s a 7.5 runs difference, or .75 wins, in favor of beckham.

i’d note that their respective career average wOBA is exactly the same. adjusted for run scoring environments, beckham’s is better. i’d further note that pierre has exceeded his career average wOBA once in the past seven seasons. seems like that bet would have paid pretty well over that time period.

by larry on Jun 16, 2011 3:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

that's a racist argument.

Some people get so rich they lose all respect for humanity. That's how rich I want to be.

by MarketMaker on Jun 17, 2011 4:40 PM CDT up reply actions  

Last year's Pierre was Mark Kotsay.

So I’d put that race card back in your pocket.

Whales! Squids! Sharks! They're everywhere! Hello, I am Poseidon! Now, when people told me I was crazy that thinly sliced roast beef would be a delicious fast-food option, I knew it was the greatest idea, and you can thank me later for Arby's.

by Jim Margalus on Jun 16, 2011 3:48 PM CDT up reply actions  

Case in point

Thanks Mr. M. (btw I love ur work otherwise).
The fact that JP is the target of anything remotely similar to the hating campaign brought against one of the worst sox players in history is ridiculous. JP actually plays the field (well).
But I’m not getting into his merits or lack thereof with any specificity. I’m arguing proportionality here, racists. The anger is way out of proportion to the suck. You aren’t writing posts about every way the sox could gain .75 wins. Nor have their been death threats against everyone standing in the way of a .75 win improvement. If the SSS comments contain more death threats for JP than Gardenhire…you have a problem.
Usually when someone is accused of being racist without realizing it they immediately agree with the accuser and are apologetic. Oh wait, that has never happened ever in the history of racism. It isn’t easy to admit that you irrationally treat someone differently because of the color of their skin, but you probably do it all the time so you might as well start small. What is smaller than JP?

by jermainesjerman on Jun 16, 2011 4:44 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

not sure how you can say pierre has played the field well.

he’s been bad this year. his main skill is stealing bases. and he’s been really bad at that this year. i don’t know what level of anger you think is proportional but juan pierre is, by at least one recognized measure, the worst player in baseball this year. seems like that would warrant a rather high level of anger.

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2011&month=0&season1=2011&ind=0

also, mark kotsay had 358 PA in 2010. pierre had 304 as of yesterday. kotsay’s WAR was -1.0. pierre’s is -1.1.

pierre is absolutely horseshit this year, worse than “one of the worst sox players in history”. and he’s getting treated the way he is because of that.

by larry on Jun 16, 2011 4:55 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

"What is smaller than JP?"

Your argument that we are somehow racist?

"That might be how you roll at Camp Anawanna, Budnick. But where I come from, we only salute Old Glory." -moroots on May 23rd

by South Side Expat on Jun 16, 2011 5:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

this is all a joke, right?

if not, this is one of the funniest non-intentional jokes I’ve read on here.

"You go up there, against a dog-ass line up AND pitcher, and you don’t do a fucking thing with it. They whip your silly, sorry, saggy ass AGAIN, and you look like fucking bottom-ass, bitch-ass chumps doing it." - 2HA

by Shoeless In SC on Jun 17, 2011 8:40 AM CDT up reply actions  

Also, "via mobile" is far and away my favorite part of this post.

I can envision you tap-tap-tapping out this tome on your (ironically) smart phone.

That vision almost makes this post worth it. Almost.

"we are going to have a skirmish" - pierzynskirules

by RWShow on Jun 16, 2011 4:18 PM CDT up reply actions  

That's an oddly specific life passion.

It’s not robbing Peter to pay Paul — it’s bludgeoning Peter to death, and then realizing on the way back that you forgot to grab his wallet.

by SonOfCron on Jun 16, 2011 4:34 PM CDT up reply actions  

I have to imagine the Pierre hate is very similar to the Podsednik hate.

Both their games are based on things the stats community doesn’t value yet they are beloved by old school types.

And I challenge you to find one player who dropped easily catchable balls that blew two winnable games in a week that hasn’t had scorn heaped upon them until they made that value up.

by joewho112 on Jun 16, 2011 4:49 PM CDT up reply actions  

don't be so ridiculous

yeah effin hell – he’s black

by hoodlight on Jun 16, 2011 4:58 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

Pierre et al

Well Sox fans after today’s pathetic response in support of Mark B against the Twins its time to wake up and shake up this team! Forget Beckham at leadoff! Its time to bring the “Bridge” in full time in center and replace Alex Rios in center. Bat the Bridge in the leadoff spot. Dump Pierre and bring up Viciedo put him in left. Bat Viciedo third in the line up in Rios old spot. He’s tearing up Triple A with 10 f…n homers)

Paulie should stay in 4th spot. (Obviously) and Q should bat 5th not Pierzynski. Let Rios and Adam Dung platoon at DH and bat them 7th behind Pierzynski. (Either that or have Lillibridge playing second and bench Beckham who is sucking at the plate, in case some of you think Rios will rebound this late in the season.

Wake Up Ozzie and Kenny!!!! The season is on the line. Can’t wait for the slump artists to recoup any longer!

by Pete B on Jun 16, 2011 5:05 PM CDT reply actions  

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