Prospect of the Day: Addison Reed, RHP, Chicago White Sox

Reed threw 88-92 MPH last year when used as a starter for the Aztecs, but in the bullpen he threw 91-95 MPH in the Pioneer League and has been a tick higher this year, in the 94-97 range. He has outstanding command of the fastball, and mixes it with a superb slider, one of the best breaking pitches in the minors. His changeup is inconsistent, but in the bullpen the fastball/slider combination has been enough for him to dominate. His ratios have remained excellent at every level, with no deterioration in his K/BB or K/IP ratios. Although Reed has saved just three games this year, he has the command, stuff, and mound presence to close games.

Rumors from Chicago indicate that Reed is on the fast track and he could see the majors in September, just over one year after being drafted. Even if that doesn't pan out, we should see him in the majors sometime in 2012.

10 months ago larry 31 comments 0 recs |

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so he will add a cutter by opening day next year

with coop and im sure will work on his changeup as well. obviously the guy is killing it in the pen, and im glad for it, but what do you think the odds are that the sox treat him like sale, and turn him back to a starter eventually?

"The words "becorned can" just beminded my fuck." - SkanchoDanza

by BoeJouma on Aug 8, 2011 10:31 AM CDT reply actions

low. he's not going to develop an adequate third pitch and his fastball isn't good enough as a starter.

by larry on Aug 8, 2011 11:02 AM CDT up reply actions

ah. thanks yo.

just because im curious, what do you think the sox rotation looks like next year? i figure youre so much more informed to make a(n) (educated) guess what i and would like to see what you think

"The words "becorned can" just beminded my fuck." - SkanchoDanza

by BoeJouma on Aug 8, 2011 11:07 AM CDT up reply actions

buehrle, peavy, danks, floyd, sale.

by larry on Aug 8, 2011 11:09 AM CDT up reply actions

poor humber.

by craigws on Aug 8, 2011 11:13 AM CDT up reply actions

ive got a feeling he gets traded

for something less desirable.

"The words "becorned can" just beminded my fuck." - SkanchoDanza

by BoeJouma on Aug 8, 2011 11:15 AM CDT up reply actions

humber

his next 7 or 8 starts are really really important to determine his value this offseason, right now he looks to be trending back to being the bad pitcher he has been in the past, hopefully he rights the ship

by Knoxfire30 on Aug 8, 2011 11:47 AM CDT up reply actions

stewart

think he is gonna get another start friday as well, back to back good outings would go a long way for him too

by Knoxfire30 on Aug 8, 2011 11:48 AM CDT up reply actions

What trend is that hits?

Humber’s FIP is 3.56 and xFIP 3.97 for the year. Nothing bad about that at all.

July 6.00 ERA but his FIP again is 3.00 and xFIP 3.52.
A .412 BABIP does that to folks. I think he’ll be fine.

"Rooting for the Twins is just a roundabout way of rooting for a first-round playoff bye for the Yankees." by big_fun

by Tdogg on Aug 8, 2011 12:03 PM CDT up reply actions

don't stop believin'

by larry on Aug 8, 2011 12:09 PM CDT up reply actions

he has been bad in july

your babip goes up when guys start hitting the ball real hard against you, this is guy came into the season as basically a washout, he had a great run the first few months of the season but I dont think you would find too many gamblers out there betting he will be a mid rotation AL starter the rest of his career

by Knoxfire30 on Aug 8, 2011 12:24 PM CDT up reply actions

.412 is still really high for anyone.

by obnoxious american on Aug 8, 2011 12:25 PM CDT up reply actions

tldr: babip is silly

Easy chief
We’re a community - Tdogg

by Jack M on Aug 8, 2011 1:08 PM CDT up reply actions

Huh?

His LD% is up a tad but so are his grounders. Sizable decrease in reg FB and a lot of infield FB. Humber has just had bad luck. The point of peripheral numbers is to look at them so you aren’t swayed by short term performance. i don’t care what gamblers would do for the rest of his career. I’m concerned about Humber now and I say he’s fine.

"Rooting for the Twins is just a roundabout way of rooting for a first-round playoff bye for the Yankees." by big_fun

by Tdogg on Aug 8, 2011 2:06 PM CDT up reply actions

he doesn't walk too many people,

which is just as well, because he has found himself in trouble lately once anyone gets on.

by craigws on Aug 8, 2011 1:47 PM CDT up reply actions

Now this might actually be his real issue.

Improving with runners on base.

"Rooting for the Twins is just a roundabout way of rooting for a first-round playoff bye for the Yankees." by big_fun

by Tdogg on Aug 8, 2011 2:07 PM CDT up reply actions

Yep.

Didn’t have to worry much about it for the first half of the year, since he was dealing/getting lucky. He does seem to give up some crooked numbers in the latter innings.

by winningugly on Aug 8, 2011 2:35 PM CDT up reply actions

I also like the fact that he's increased his K rate.

"Rooting for the Twins is just a roundabout way of rooting for a first-round playoff bye for the Yankees." by big_fun

by Tdogg on Aug 8, 2011 2:09 PM CDT up reply actions

Do you mean K/BB?

His K% is right around career average.

Also, I’m surprised no one has mentioned that he’s added a slider this year that he’s throwing 16% of the time, which to me indicates he’s a different pitcher and gives more weight to current performance vs previous years.

Keep the ERA under or close to 4, throw 5-6 more quality starts, and I think he will at least be a decent trade chip or, worst case, a 4-5 starter.

by paul_ on Aug 8, 2011 4:17 PM CDT up reply actions

This was in reference to his July numbers

sorry for the confusion.

"Rooting for the Twins is just a roundabout way of rooting for a first-round playoff bye for the Yankees." by big_fun

by Tdogg on Aug 8, 2011 4:32 PM CDT up reply actions

ah.

i see that i could have done that as well. thanks again

"The words "becorned can" just beminded my fuck." - SkanchoDanza

by BoeJouma on Aug 8, 2011 11:13 AM CDT up reply actions

Wow, exciting.

I figured Sale would take a year in AAA to build up stamina and whatnot. I figured this on account of how I don’t know how these things work and what the development process should be like.

We all know Sale has had success pitching to major leaguers, but do you figure he’d be on a stricter innings limit or something like that for his first full season as a starter? Or play it by ear?

"I'm the Chicago man. I'm vital in Chicago." -Willy Ohman, Act 1

by mechanical turk on Aug 8, 2011 11:14 AM CDT up reply actions