Let's not overdo it, Part II: Jesse Crain
Jesse Crain blew a lead on Monday by giving up a three-run homer to J.J. Hardy. He then picked up the win. All in a day's work for a team hellbent on keeping John Danks' third year of arbitration as reasonable as possible.
Much like Paul Konerko, Crain in his current form is a study in incongruities. He's also showing evidence of overdoing it, and in this case, Ozzie Guillen should definitely scale back his appearances in the short term.
First, we can look at his results to tell that something is wrong:
- 7 IP, 11 H, 5 R, 4 ER, 5 BB, 6 K, 2 HR, 33 percent strand rate.
But that only tells part of the story. Drill down into his pitch data, and here's the bigger issue (numbers updated to include Monday's pitches):
| Before 7/20 | After 7/20 | |||
| Pitch | Swing% | Whiff% | Swing% | Whiff% |
| Slider | 46.5 | 13.1 | 31.9 | 7.2 |
| Fastball | 44.1 | 11.9 | 53.8 | 9.6 |
Crain has apparently loss the feel for his slider. There's nothing wrong with the velocity, but it's lacking the kind of life and location that made it much more tempting for hitters prior to this slump. And without his slider, his fastball becomes much more hittable, as Hardy proved with his three-run shot.
When Sergio Santos moved to the closer role and Matt Thornton couldn't be trusted early on, Crain had to assume more stressful innings. He leads the staff in appearances and innings, and the workload is starting to show.
He hasn't admitted that he's wearing down, but he did tell Brett Ballantini that he welcomed the addition of Jason Frasor:
So, is Jesse Crain really gassed?
Funny, I asked him just that before Saturday’s game, and Crain, ever the gamer, said only once this year was he out of gas but called upon to pitch, during his three-straight-game stretch just this week, July 24-26, when Crain threw nine, 31, and 10 pitches over three innings, one earned run, two walks, two Ks and two holds.
"I was kinda tired the third day I threw in a row, after I threw 31 pitches the night before," Crain said. "It’s nice to have them concerned about [my rest]. It’s a long season. We’ve still got two months left and we’re in the thick of things. To have another quality right-handed guy [the recently acquired Jason Frasor] helps."
Now it's up to Guillen to get a better read on Frasor's abilities, because there has been quite an imbalance in use over the past week. In easy to read form...
PITCHES THROWN OVER THE LAST SIX DAYS:
- Crain: 71
- Frasor: 3
And Frasor used all three pitches on a backwards K of Minnesota's Danny Valencia.
Crain's struggles are taking place immediately after regression torpedoes Brian Bruney's renaissance, which is kinda perfect in a certain respect. The Sox girded their loins for this scenario when they made Frasor their only midseason addition, and now it's time for Frasor to show the Sox what he's worth.
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"We saw death and I don't think we fear it anymore. Not unlike 2005, when we finally clinched and then we took off in the playoffs." Coop 7/29/10
Ah. Cosby image wouldn't load the first time.
So the Cos’ thinks it’s implausible. That’s good enough for me.
by Name's Dalton on Aug 9, 2011 4:32 PM CDT up reply actions
Speculation maybe
but during Hardy’s 3 run HR, AJ was set up on outside corner & Jesse pitched inside (which we all know what happend). Also the FB was left up. I thought at the time, “is he missing that badly?”
I hope the arm isn’t tired.
It's 106 miles to Chicago, we have a full tank of gas, 1/2 pack of cigarettes...it's dark, and we're wearing sunglasses.
tired arm
It's 106 miles to Chicago, we have a full tank of gas, 1/2 pack of cigarettes...it's dark, and we're wearing sunglasses.
by lastof12 on Aug 9, 2011 12:20 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
oh.
i guess i could have skipped the post and just read your comment then
"The words "becorned can" just beminded my fuck." - SkanchoDanza
I've been wooshed...
It's 106 miles to Chicago, we have a full tank of gas, 1/2 pack of cigarettes...it's dark, and we're wearing sunglasses.
Trying again
I need to define what I believe to be a tired arm. There are 4 grades IMHO when speaking of pitching fatigue/injury:
1. Overused pitcher: mechanics are sound, arm is fine. Simply put, “used too often.”
2. Tired arm: Mechanics relatively sound & no imminent danger of injury. Muscles are sore.
3. Dead arm: bad mechanics due to arm injury (predominantly tendonitis)
4. Blown arm or arm is out: Severe injury.
Perhaps I should have stated this:
I hope the arm isn’ttiredinjured.
I did read the post BTW. And re-read to make sure I didn’t miss something. Thanks BJ.
It's 106 miles to Chicago, we have a full tank of gas, 1/2 pack of cigarettes...it's dark, and we're wearing sunglasses.
or signed to 3 year deals by the white sox
most of the time, nothing good comes from it.
He's streaky. I heard you the first 100 times. I don't care. Ride or die. -tdogg on c quentin
Updated the chart with Monday's data
Whiff rates went up a little, but it wasn’t really an improvement based on how inefficient he was.
Whales! Squids! Sharks! They're everywhere! Hello, I am Poseidon! Now, when people told me I was crazy that thinly sliced roast beef would be a delicious fast-food option, I knew it was the greatest idea, and you can thank me later for Arby's.
Know the difference!

"If they’re angry and they’re embarrassed, they should be." - Ozzie Guillen’s take on how fans might consider feeling about the current dreadful state of the Sox (8/3/11)
by tailgater on Aug 9, 2011 12:38 PM CDT reply actions 7 recs
White Sox starters pitch deep into games and the White Sox have 5 solid relievers in the bullpen
No reason anyone should be throwing that many pitches.
I’d love to see Ozzie move away from using two guy two nights in a row for 1 inning and instead use one guy each night for two innings.
If he continues to struggle, they should DL Crain for a couple weeks to get some rest
and call up Addison Reed. Hopefully Reed and Frasor can fill Crain’s role well enough that Crain can rest his arm until September when there will be extra roster spots and the Sox can keep Reed up
I'm on pins and needles for Part 3 !
"Rooting for the Twins is just a roundabout way of rooting for a first-round playoff bye for the Yankees." by big_fun
by Tdogg on Aug 9, 2011 1:09 PM CDT reply actions 3 recs
my guess is that it will have ewoks.
I love seasons too. That's why I live in a place that skips the shitty ones.
by thatshortkid on Aug 9, 2011 1:57 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
my prediction? PAINNNN
then we kill that ‘change is beautiful’ guy.
Why buy the cow when the milk is kinda bitchy?
by SkanchoDanza on Aug 9, 2011 2:05 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
are you actually questioning whether the president of the USA be whacked on a SSS thread?
i’m sure jim and SBnation want the feds crawling up their respective asses. and who is the knucklehead who rec’d that comment?
Jim Thome sponsor(s) this page.
Highly underrated, Mark Kotsay became the best defensive designated hitter in American League history in 2010.
by onlysoxfaninbasel on Aug 9, 2011 4:36 PM CDT up reply actions
To be fair, I think he was questioning whether SkanchoDanza was suggesting it.
Either way, let’s just move along, shall we?
by Name's Dalton on Aug 9, 2011 4:48 PM CDT up reply actions
you might not know (i'm not sure if you're new to sss)
but change is beautiful is associated with carl weathers, it’s an inside joke that joewho112 is well aware of. he knew who skancho was talking about and didn’t have to go over the top.
by all means, let’s move on, but let’s raise the level of discourse too, unless we want sbnation to get on our case over comments on the threads.
Jim Thome sponsor(s) this page.
Highly underrated, Mark Kotsay became the best defensive designated hitter in American League history in 2010.
by onlysoxfaninbasel on Aug 9, 2011 4:56 PM CDT up reply actions
Huh? Are you serious?
This isn’t political or low brow. Obama’s campaign slogan was “Change.” That’s all this is.
i was serious
and after reading dots and feathers in a previous thread around the same time, i was in a ticked off mood.
but if you say there was no low brow/political context, i accept that. and in fact, i should have asked you about it in a friendly tone first.
but as a person who has to deal with subtle or explicit ‘racial’ remarks occasionally in real life, i hope you understand that sometimes i can misread otherwise innocuous remarks.
Jim Thome sponsor(s) this page.
Highly underrated, Mark Kotsay became the best defensive designated hitter in American League history in 2010.
by onlysoxfaninbasel on Aug 10, 2011 11:42 AM CDT up reply actions
Fair enough
I mean this as a honest question and don’t mean to come off as dick-ish, but how did you construe me asking if SD was referring to Obama as the “change is beautifu” guy as racist?
b/c SD was talking about killing that 'change is beautiful' guy
which was without question carl weathers, who is a deity that transcends race in the SSS realm, i think that is a valid statement.
now replace weathers with obama after the word killing, and the phrase no longer transcend race, not in contemporary times it doesn’t. if you really think it does, then we most likely have divergent views on the current state of racial politics, and i don’t care to expand much further.
Jim Thome sponsor(s) this page.
Highly underrated, Mark Kotsay became the best defensive designated hitter in American League history in 2010.
by onlysoxfaninbasel on Aug 10, 2011 1:40 PM CDT up reply actions
that'll teach you to riff on a rocky iii/iv joke
I love seasons too. That's why I live in a place that skips the shitty ones.
by thatshortkid on Aug 10, 2011 2:04 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
this knucklehead right here. it was funny.
and yes, i realize the irony wrt authorities crawling up one’s respective ass because of an SSS comment.
I love seasons too. That's why I live in a place that skips the shitty ones.
by thatshortkid on Aug 9, 2011 6:08 PM CDT up reply actions 2 recs
This is over.
"Rooting for the Twins is just a roundabout way of rooting for a first-round playoff bye for the Yankees." by big_fun
yum?
Pierre lf, Ramirez ss, Konerko DH, Quentin rf, aj c, Rios Cf, Lillibridge 1b, beckham 2b, morel 3b, Floyd p
only yum if lillibridge brings the powa tonight
"We saw death and I don't think we fear it anymore. Not unlike 2005, when we finally clinched and then we took off in the playoffs." Coop 7/29/10
Spoiler alert:
They find his head up there
by joewho112 on Aug 9, 2011 2:58 PM CDT up reply actions 10 recs
how would they be able to tell?
a big ball of excrement in a rectum is still a big ball of excrement
The realist keepin it real amongst the surrealists
R.I.P. Big Homey Nate Dogg: "Cuz Iiiiiiiiii have ne-evv-ver met a giiiiiiiiiirrrrrrllllllllllllllllllll tha-at I loved in the whole wide wooorrrlllllddddddd"
by starbury_to_s-jaxci2000 on Aug 9, 2011 4:55 PM CDT up reply actions
he'll have to cleanse it out first and the wife, kids and family pet don't wanna be home when that happens.
"keep a weather eye on the horizon, dearest captain of the douche canoe" - BJ
by Shoeless In SC on Aug 9, 2011 3:08 PM CDT up reply actions
Hope they aren't doing it because they suspect something serious though.
I shant be misled a second time
Not the best, fellas. Not the best.
"keep a weather eye on the horizon, dearest captain of the douche canoe" - BJ

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