Sabermetrics for beginners: Links to get you started
On the tails of some (mildly) expressed lurker interest in learning more about sabermetrics during the South Side Sox open house, I've decided to compile some of my personal bookmarks and other useful resources to help simplify things. I share some links ‘round these parts, so naturally I am expert. Perhaps this can be a database. Or just a one-off. Either way, maybe a few more people will ask more questions and really get the sabermetric ball rolling. If you're only vaguely familiar with some of the more obscure terms and acronyms thrown around on here, well, it can be overwhelming. There is a lot to learn, of course, but there are also a host of White Sox fans willing to help with that process. Just read up a bit first, eh? The links below provide a ton of material, but it's all good stuff, I promise. For the sake of brevity, I'll try to keep my comments clipped.
So, new jack, what is sabermetrics? Where to start? What a coincidence. Fangraphs, perhaps the most-cited outside resource on SSS, recently asked themselves that exact question. The rest of the links are focused on the numbers, but it's a larger field than that to be sure. As you'll find, many of the sites mentioned below are extremely interesting; I highly encourage new users to simply dive in. Select a couple favorite players, use the search functions and click away in any and all directions. Reading stat descriptions is fine, but you'll learn a lot more by putting them to work for you.
Next, to start the technical descriptions, this is an excellent primer. Yep, it has 24 articles on 24 subjects, but it's concise (if you can believe that) and very easy to understand. The listed subjects are largely concerned with player value, which is good since that's probably where most discussions and arguments originate. Those articles give us the meat and potatoes background behind concepts such as Wins Above Replacement. For some quick references, use the Fangraphs library. I've linked to a few of more frequently used stats and concepts below.
Hitting:
I suppose it's cheating a bit, but we really do get a lot of information from Fangraphs. Some essentials:
OPS and OPS+ (with a disclaimer), BABIP, groundball, fly ball and line drive percentages, and strike-out and walk percentages. We'll let colintj explain wOBA.
Other good resources: Hit Tracker is basically a home run database. One of the more "fun" websites here.
For the armchair managers, custom lineup analysis.
Pitching:
More Fangraphs stuff. It's basically unavoidable, and if I tried to be more creative with these links the information likely wouldn't be as good.
WHIP (there's that disclaimer again); Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP), on which fWAR (or Fangraphs WAR) for pitchers is based; strike-out and walk rates; groundball, fly ball and line drive rates; and home run per fly ball rates.
Also, It's not strictly pitching, but Texas Leaguers uses PITCHf/x data to give you, the consumer, basically whatever you want. Search by a player, batter or pitcher, and you can pull up customized (and very specific) pitch location, velocity and movement charts, spray charts, pitch results... everything. If you're looking to deconstruct an at-bat or a pitcher's performance, this is your site. Before you jump to conclusions about your findings, though, read this precaution.
Fielding:
From colin again, this time about Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR). Also sometimes cited is the Fan Scouting Report, a defensive measurement by the fans, which Fangraphs now includes on each players' page. Not available to the public yet, but hopefully on the horizon, we have FIELDf/x, with a more in-depth preview here.
WAR and expectancy:
fWAR and bWAR, or baseball-reference WAR, otherwise known as rWAR. He's a graphic difference between the two in scale.
Run expectancy, a context-neutral stat, is one of my favorites. Here's a couple charts in different eras, contrasted to last year alone. Win expectancy is a bit more complex, but makes for many fantastic graphs, such as this from game six of the 2011 World Series.
Others links:
Ballpark dimensions (the written numbers are accurate, while the ones displayed in the graphic are not for some reason). Park factors explained; ESPN has them for every year, but definitely take those rankings with large chunks of salt. I just found these convenient day-of-game factors; if nothing else, it's convenient to see where the wind is going. Since we often talk value, Cot's is probably the most trusted source for salary information. And, especially early in the season, we're always worried about a large enough sample size; here larry provides an assist.
Alright. It's entirely too late, I'm still sick and this took a lot longer than expected. If one person makes it halfway through the Lookout Landing guides, though, it was worth it. Commenters, feel free to add more sabermetric-inclined links and resources in the comments, and editors should feel free to edit.
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Thanks.
"People of privilege will always risk their complete destruction rather than surrender any material part of their advantage."
John Kenneth Galbraith
That's a great start
Much appreciated.
A vision from heaven! I shall indeed compose a rap about deez nutz!
This is very useful. I even bookmarked this post.
Just FYI…Some links are broken. I fixed them below:
For 2012 season: ALEX RIOS is my new TONY PENA.
Yep just reached half way
through the Lookout Landing links – and pushing through. Thanks for the info, and a Sunday morning lost.
by bevingtonsTallBoy on Feb 12, 2012 8:55 AM CST reply actions
For a quick blast from the past
NBC’s “The following programs will not be seen….” announcement before game 1 of the 1983 ALCS.
From 1982, a brief promo for the NBC Game of the Week between the White Sox and Indians:
And finally…did you know Harold Baines was in a music video? He makes a cameo in the video for Dire Straits’ “Walk of Life.”
What?! I ain't no Professor Pickles!
by 67WMAQ on Feb 12, 2012 10:26 AM CST reply actions 1 recs
And while we're at it
The promo for the 1983 All Star Game…with an appearance from Hawk’s favorite Red Sock.
What?! I ain't no Professor Pickles!
i was at the all star game in 2003.
next time we will get it is probably 2033 for the 100th year. i plan on being there. hopefully the good lord does too. haha
Kenwo4life=ratings. Just call me Mr. USA Today.
James wrote this little bit of fantastic this morning.
http://www.chicagonow.com/white-sox-observer/2012/02/robin-ventura-managerial-final-exam/
"Many people need desperately to receive this message: 'I feel and think much as you do, care about many of the things you care about, although most people do not care about them. You are not alone.'"
by U-God on Feb 12, 2012 10:40 AM CST reply actions 2 recs
nice, man. maybe change the link or some tags to make it very easy to find later, too?
Some people get so rich they lose all respect for humanity. That's how rich I want to be.
I put it under the section "Sunday Links" and made it a featured post as well.
For those who’ve never noticed, when you scroll down past the fanshots and the standings, on the right there is a section of featured posts.
"Many people need desperately to receive this message: 'I feel and think much as you do, care about many of the things you care about, although most people do not care about them. You are not alone.'"
the title will have to change for a featured post link to be worth anything.
no one’s going to remember what the fuck “sunday links are just trying to be helpful” is in a month.
Yeah, I'll change that later. Can't edit at the moment.
Or you can. Or anyone, no matter.
The lords of dawn are men such as Mr. Lucy.
Bunts and SBs
Please excuse my ignorance but I’m trying to find out why bunts and SBs are frowned upon by Sabrematicians. Can someone help me out?
"Confidence is contagious." THE Coach
stolen bases are not frowned upon.
both of your questions have to do with outs. each team is given 27 outs, 3 outs per inning. they are the most precious thing in the game. a team should not give up outs lightly.
the point about stolen base attempts is that there is a break-even point for when teams should attempt to steal. generically speaking, a team should attempt to steal when the chance of success is about 70%. this break even point fluctuates based on game situation (essentially what’s the score, how many outs are there, who is batting, who else is on base). for example, the break even point goes down to something like 60% in the ninth inning of a tie game. what we’re really getting at is the risk/reward. does the potential reward outweigh the risk?
the myth about stolen bases being frowned upon arises from a misunderstanding of this analysis. the criticism from analysts was that teams were attempting steals in situations where the reward did not outweigh the risk and thus were hurting their chances of winning a game. but the myth perpetuators ignored the flip side: teams were also not attempting steals in situations where the reward did outweigh the risk – for example, teams do not steal enough in the late innings of tied games (when the break even point falls drastically).
bunts are similar but way worse. what a team is doing is giving up one of their limited number of outs to advance a runner one base. it is rare for that to be a good tradeoff. the point is that teams do it way too much. there are certainly game situations where it does make sense. but not anywhere near the rate at which teams do it.
if you’re interested in learning more about the math behind such things, you should read the book.
http://www.amazon.com/Book-Playing-Percentages-Baseball/dp/1597971294
by larry on Feb 14, 2012 1:31 PM CST up reply actions 2 recs
Many thanks
for your enlightening comment. It helps a lot. I’ll check out the book from the library!
"Sometime you win, sometime you lose, sometime it rains."
To add to larry's reply,
the run expectancy matrices linked above can give you an idea of the damage incurred by a failed steal or even a successful bunt.
The lords of dawn are men such as Mr. Lucy.
ESPN as a source of good information.
That “thud” you just heard was colin’s jaw hitting the floor.
We're all here because we're not all there.

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