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Fun with data

One of the coolest developments of the last calendar year was MiLB.com making game logs from each game freely available. Jeff Sackman, who runs the SB Nation blog Brew Crew Ball, took advantage of this and created minorleaguesplits.com. Today, penning a piece for The Hardball Times, he takes a look at minor league catchers and their ability to shut down their opponents running game.

After watching Chris Stewart throw out Grady Sizemore trying to steal on a Charlie Haeger knuckleball, it came as no surprise to me to find Stewart listed as the top minor league catcher in terms of CS% (52.7%). He ranked third in terms of overall effectiveness shutting down the running game. And you'll notice the name Gustavo Molina creep into the top 10 in that same category.

As far as I'm concerned, this is just another reason to put Sandy Alomar out to pasture for the third time. You're choosing between an old guy who can't hit or throw guys out, and a couple of young guys who also can't hit but can occasionally throw out a runner.

* * * * *
Baseball Reference rolled out a new feature that allows you to neutralize a players stats, then transport that player to the run scoring environment from any park after 1900. Pretty neat tool.
* * * * *
I know I've ragged on Pinto's PMR in the comments before. It often clashes with other fielding metrics and my own intuition regarding some players. No metric is perfect, nor is my own perception. Pinto has once again (he did the same thing in '04) taken BIS' data and made a graphical representation of each players fielding prowess.

Browsing through the charts tonight, I noticed a strong correlation with my own thoughts on a couple of players. For instance, when the data for 3B was released, a poster at Soxtalk wondered how many doubles Crede saved. I wanted to chime in that I thought that it was less than some other guys like Punto and Inge, but stayed quiet for fear of being attacked by the mob. My theory was that Crede's high ranking was more about his superior talent for smothering the balls that would get by most defenders than great range. Take a look at Crede's chart (after the jump) and you'll see a graphical representation of just this. I included graphs of Brandon Inge and Nick Punto (two guys with the ability to make spectacular plays on the foul side of third base) and Mike Lowell (often referred to as having the great hands, but limitted range) for comparisons sake.

I also included Brian Andersons chart. Notice how much better he is going to his right (LCF). Part of this is no doubt due to excellent positioning, but not all of it. This was something that I innately noticed during the year. It seemed like whenever a ball was hit to the left side of CF it was an automatic out, but balls hit to the right side often found Anderson shading the opposite direction.

Star-divide

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Ross Gload TRADED...
to the Royals for lefty reliever and former Cubs farm-hand Andrew Sisco.

Looks like Gload will finally get a full-time starting 1B gig.  Congrats to Ross.

by SSH2005 on Dec 16, 2006 11:10 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Ryan Shealy
AIM: SouthSideCheat

by The Cheat on Dec 16, 2006 11:15 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

DOH...
forgot about that dude.  What the hell do they want with Gload then?  They must be trying to dump Mike Sweeney's contract so they can stick Gload at 1B and Shealy at DH.

by SSH2005 on Dec 16, 2006 11:16 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Rotoworld thinks it's a steal for us...
Royals acquired first baseman Ross Gload from the White Sox for LHP Andrew Sisco.
Awful. At least Rafael Soriano for Horacio Ramirez could be justified by the not quite non-existent chance that Ramirez could somehow be a No. 3 starter in the AL. Gload is a 30-year-old backup first baseman with little chance of being more than a useful pinch-hitter going forward. Sisco is a 24-year-old left-hander with terrific stuff who the Royals made the mistake of forcing into the bullpen. Players like Gload are available as minor league free agents every year. Players like Sisco become available only when you're lucky enough to catch a bad GM on the right day. We're growing less impressed with Dayton Moore by the minute. Gload can hit a little in his limited role, but he's no better equipped to help the Royals than Justin Huber is. Huber is probably the next youngster Moore will sell off for at a big discount.

by SSH2005 on Dec 16, 2006 11:45 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

I'd have to agree
I like Ross a lot, and I hope he gets a chance to rack up a bunch of at-bats in KC. But with Fields, Sweeney, and Rogowski, the Sox have players that they could use at 1B/DH in case of injury (and Mack can play 1B in a pinch I guess).

A young LHP with a fastball is a fairly rare commodity. The Sox could even have Sisco try starting again at AAA.

Who knows how evryone will perform, but on the face of it, it's a good trade. And unless Moore flips Sweeney, Huber, Shealey, or Ross for something else, I really don't understand what KC is doing.

by hitlesswonder on Dec 16, 2006 12:16 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Rogowski...
he is nothing more than a career minor leaguer.  The dude might make the majors one day (I doubt it) but it won't be with the White Sox.

by SSH2005 on Dec 16, 2006 12:36 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I wasn't suggesting Rogowski was good...
...but he is similar to Gload (who was pegged as a AAAA 1B/DH/OF that didn't have enough power). Rogowski and Gload's minor league OBP are the same, although Ross hit .300 to Rogowski's .275 and Rogowski's power numbers are non-existent. Obviously, you are right that Rogowski wouldn't do what Ross could this year. And this will be Rogowski's age 26 season, if he doesn't show some power this year, it's probably his last season in the Sox organization. But he could still have a career a lot like Gload's.  

by hitlesswonder on Dec 16, 2006 1:42 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

This is really interesting stuff, Cheat.
The comparison with Punto makes sense, too.  Punto is really more of a second baseman and doesn't have the greatest instincts for the hot corner.  But he does have a strong arm and fast legs, so he makes some spectacular-looking plays in foul territory.  From the looks of it, though, Crede's ability to smother the ball is more valuable, if for no other reason than more balls are hit at a third baseman than fieldable balls right down the line.

I'm a little surprised Inge isn't rated better.  He's a monster.

by ubelmann on Dec 18, 2006 5:25 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

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