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Waiting For Average

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Realistically, this game should have been a win for the White Sox.  It was called after the Sox went quietly in their half of the 11th, at which point they had managed 8 hits and 9 walks yet just 3 runs.  We went in vain waiting for that timely base hit, one that will have to wait now until, it appears, June.

Meanwhile, back on April 19, Cheat penned this:

Elephant in the Room

After being limited to just 3 hits, one of which was a bunt, by Sonnanstine on Saturday, the White Sox now rank 13th in the AL in batting average at .239, lower than they hit during the dismal '07 season, fractions of a percentage point away from the cellar (Cleveland at .239, or .2389). It has gone largely unnoticed thanks to good plate discipline and timely homeruns, but the Sox still aren't hitting.

The starting lineup today featured two batters with an average above .250, Nick Swisher and Joe Crede. That's not going to cut it, no matter how many walks they draw or how many homers they crank.

 

And then a footnote from April 23:

The Sox offense had a productive game against Wang. It just didn't result in--how do I put this--runs. They left a baker's dozen stranded on the basepaths tonight.

It's even Official SSH Doctrine™ at this point, so it bears investigation.  Thus I direct you to check out the THT team stats page.  The relevant stats here are line drive rate, ground ball rate and BABIP (18%, 44% and .258, respectively).  It's a pretty good portrait for our team right now, but remember that we've still completed just 15% of the season.  In any case, our expected BABIP by line drive rate is .300, 40 points north of what Carlos (long may he live) and Co. have managed.  I say regression is in order and we can probably start revising our expected OBP upward as a result.

Like many of my generation I know that half of everything is luck  and as such will be expecting our offense to get a few more timely hits.  So just maybe that ¡Profundo! homer to tie it was the beginning?  Perhaps and I hope so, since Sox pitchers have been giving up home runs on just 6% of fly balls.  A mark like that for a team that plays in The Cell is untenable and the biggest benefactor has been Gavin Floyd (he the thrower of but 34 % ground balls).  The starters are fourth in the AL in win probability added, but at some point, Gavin is going to revert to his adequate 4th/5th starter status.  

If we are finally daring to look up at the season ahead of us to see if we do have a shot, then I feel far more uncertainty about the quality of the pitching than the quality of this lineup as constructed.  But let's be straight, there's no reason to have high hopes.  This is a .500 team, right?

...Right?


 

 

Goldneyeboss1_medium

James: And the other half?

Alec: Fate.