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Chris Getz Community Projection Results

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South Side Sox' Chris Getz Community Projection

At Bats AVG OBP SLG XBH SB GS
Avg + Std Dev 492 .286 .361 .418 39 20 135
Community Average 404 .273 .341 .380 29 14 106
Avg - 5% 384 .259 .324 .342 27 13 100
Avg - 2 Std Dev 227 .248 .301 .303 9 2 47

Thanks to all who participated. The final projection uses 76 entries (after I removed 4-5 crazy-to-impossible entries), and came out much more realistic that I originally thought. Full spreadsheet of the data is available here.

Obviously, we have a bit of a bias when making these so I thought I'd do some PECOTA-style adjustments to our average to come up with a more well rounded picture. For an unbiased projection I simply subtracted 5% from each category (10% for SLG). Then I gave you a High and a LOW projection by adding or subtracting the standard deviation.