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Alexei Ramirez Community Projection Results

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South Side Sox' Alexei Ramirez Community Projection

PA 2B HR BB K AVG OBP SLG E
Average + Std Dev 613 34 27 40 63 .299 .341 .515 10
Community Average 561 28 22 30 76 .288 .326 .478 17
Average - Std Dev 510 23 17 21 88 .277 .310 .441 23

I was a little bit surprised that these projections weren't overly optimistic. The counting stats could probably use my plucked from thin air 5% adjustment, but the rate stats seem pretty accurate to me. The community agrees that Alexei will be more patient in '09, and could see an up-tick in his strikeout rate as a result...

I agree. And it's only as I'm writing this that I realize I didn't even log an entry of my own, so I can't even say for sure what I would have given him without viewing the community's numbers. I think I might have ended up on the high side.

Raw Spreadsheet data here.