Overall, I didn't have to do much to clean up this projection, only deleting two clearly erroneous entries. I suspect that's because you can pretty much justify any projection from 35 HRs (roughly Fields' prorated total in '07) to 3 Games Started at 3B (I assume WTGTD has Fields shifting to 1B to take over for Konerko).
South Side Sox' Josh Fields Community Projection
|Avg + Std Dev||142||510||29||30||59||133||.267||.339||.505||12|
|Avg - 5%||109||412||21||22||43||136||.240||.306||.439||17|
My own personal projection (.255/.325/.465) was remarkably close to the finished community projection, though I had one of the lowest HR rates of anyone. As a group, the slugging percentage seemed a bit detached from the counting stats, but otherwise it looks to me like another decent projection, very near pecota's 60th percentile. I applied another 5% adjustment to knock down some optimism, but that only seemed to increase the disconnect between the counting stats (2B and HR) and SLG.
The one area I didn't know how to adjust up or down was the strikeouts. Adding or subtracting the standard deviation would have yielded some wonky results, so I just scaled the K-rate (K/AB) from the community average which resulted in a relatively stable number of strikeouts over a varying amount of at bats.