FanPost

MY OFFSEASON PLAN BY WSBILL

My 2016 offseason plan

I’m going for a complete rebuild. I don’t think, however, that it’s wise to complete the build all at one time. I plan to do most of the rebuild during this offseason but I will not complete the rebuild until this time next year. I also think you can get more value by trading with multiple teams rather than making a couple of really blockbuster trades as teams are very hesitant to gut their farm system no matter what the return.

Buckle up!-I LIKE TO TRADE.

  • Todd Frazier, $13.5M -Tender
  • Brett Lawrie, $5.1M-Tender
  • Avisail Garcia, $3.5M-Non-Tender
  • Miguel Gonzalez, $2.6M-Tender
  • Dan Jennings, $1.2M-Tender
  • J.B. Shuck, $1M-Non-Tender
  • Jake Petricka, $900K-Tender
  • Zach Putnam, $900K-Tender
  • Daniel Webb, $600K-Non-Tender

Contract options (pick up or buy out)

  • Matt Albers: $3M for 2017 or a $250,000 buyout-Buyout

Impending free agents (re-sign, let go or qualifying offer)

  • Austin Jackson: Made $5 million in 2016.-Let Go
  • Alex Avila: Made $2.5 million in 2016. .-Let Go
  • Justin Morneau: Made $1 million in 2016, although he signed during the season. .-Let Go

Free agents

Sign Travis Wood to a two year 12 million dollar deal. He is being signed primarily as a reliever but can also spot start if needed(I would go higher if needed)

Foreign signing

Sign Lourdes Gourriel to a 50million dollar contract (20mil bonus and 5mil per year for 6 years). Since we stubbornly refuse to go over the international bonus amount every year. This is our chance to do it legitimately to secure what seems to be a significant talent.

Trades

No. 1: Trade Chris Sale to the Dodgers for Joc Pederson, Julio Urias and Jose De Leon . I know that some will say this is too much of an ask but I don’t think it is. I’m going for quality not quantity. After the series with the Cubs it was apparent that the Dodgers need another ace now if they hope to remain a world series contender next year. Urias may be at that level in a couple of years but his not there now

No.2: A three way trade: Joc Pederson to St Louis for Alex Reyes and Reyes going to Houston with Alec Bergman coming to the Sox. I would have preferred to just trade Pederson straight up for Bergman but I felt that Reyes would be more attractive trade piece for them. I know some will say that the Cardinals will never make that trade because Reyes is too much of a talent but Center field was a revolving door for them last year and they have a deep pitching staff and Pederson is a legitimate talent in an area of need.

No.3: Trade Todd Frazier to Atlanta for pitchers Sean Newcomb and Lucas Sims. Atlanta moves into its new stadium next year and the Braves want to field a winner for a change. I’ve read that their front office is telling its fans that the days of trading starters for prospects is over. The most glaring open area on their team currently is third.

No:4 Trade Jose Quintana and Dan Jennings to Boston for Andrew Benintendi, Mauricio Dubon, Michael Kopech and Eduardo Rodriguez. This gives Boston the chance to fill a left handed pitcher void in their bullpen upgrade their pitching overall without decimating their farm system.

No:5 Trade Melky Cabrera and 7.5 mil) to Seattle for Luiz Gohara. Seattle is also in a win now mode. They have a void in left field and are bumping against their budget limits. They almost traded Gohara at the mid-year trade deadline to the Reds. He currently is a strike out machine in the AFL and has been for the past year. He is at least a year away from being major league ready

No:6 Trade David Robinson to the Yankees for pitchers: Chance Adams and Freicer Perez. The Yankees can put together another version of their elite bullpen. Chance Adams came out of nowhere to post an impressive first full year in the Yankees system. Perez is one of my choices for a breakout performer .He is currently ranked 29th in the Yankees system but has lots of potential.

No:7 Trade Brett Lawrie to Philadelphia for pitchers Alberto Tirado and Edgar Garcia. They are currently ranked 28th and 27th in the Phillies system. Both have promise but the one I am most intrigued about is Tirado. They traded him away once and then got him back so obviously they see something that they like. He’s the guy that beat Alec Hansen in Alec’s first start in Class A. He fanned 10 and gave up only 1 single in his six innings of work. He seems to have fixed some mechanical problems he had earlier in the year.

Finally No:8 trade Michael Kopech and Carson Fulmer to Denver for Catcher Tom Murphy and outfielder David Dahl. Denver’s biggest need is starting pitching. They can replace David Dahl with prospect Raimel Tapia. I’m not convinced that Fulmer is a starting pitcher. At this point I think that Sean Newcomb is a better gamble . This gives Denver 2 pitching prospects in the top 100 (57/67).

Summary

Adam Eaton RF(4m)

David Dahl CF(500K)

Andrew Benintendi LF(500K)

Alex Bergman 3B(500K)

Tim Anderson SS(500K)

Tyler Saladino 2B(500K)

Jose Abreu 1B(12M)

Tom Murphy C(500K)

Matt Davidson 1B/DH(500K)

Bench :

Omar Narvaez C(500K)

Charlie Tilson OF(500K)

Carlos Sanchez INF(500K)

Jake Peter INF/OF/DH(500K)

Rotation:

Carlos Rodon(500K)

Miguel Gonzalez(2.6M)

Eduardo Rodriguez(500K)

Julio Urias(500K)

James Shields(10M)

Bullpen:

Nate Jones(1.9M)

Tommy Kahnle(500K)

Travis Wood(6M)

Jake Petricka(500K)

Zach Putnam(500K)

Zach Burdi(500K)

Michael Yona(500K)

SUMMARY

I would see the lineup changing somewhat by midyear. I have James Shields listed as a starting pitcher, if he continues to have the problems he had throughout last year, I would replace him with Jose De Leon probably sometime in May. I also see Mauricio Dubon taking over at second once he gets some exposure at Triple A.

I did not forget about Lourdes Gourriel. I don’t want to rush him. The Sox are always talking about making aggressive promotions. Many times I think they overdue it. It seems that because the farm system has been so weak they are forced to rush prospects to the "bigs" before they are ready. I plan on Gourriel coming up in the September call ups. I see him as being a replacement for Eaton in 2108. But because of his versatility he would be a candidate for replacing anyone in the outfield if there is an injury or performance deficiency.

Since pitching was weakened in the rebuild I wanted to try and stock the minors with pitching talent that would become available in waves over the next several years. I think there is enough upside in this group to make a significant contribution over the next couple of years.

I know that DH is a problem. But I think the position players are more of a priority right now. I see DH as future area (2018 ) for a free agent signing.

I would put the payroll at 79.5 mil with all bonuses an salary makeups included.


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