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White Sox Play-off odds increasing

Three projection models give Chicago better than 60 percent chance of making the play-offs.

By Joshua Nelson
Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

After Saturday's 7-2 win against the Minnesota Twins, Chicago's play-off odds are looking quite favorable. With the best record in the American League at 21-10, three projection models (PECOTA, Fangraphs, FiveThirtyEight) are seeing postseason baseball coming to the South Side.

PECOTA (Baseball Prospectus)

Simulated W-L Final Record: 89-73

Play-off percentage: 77.6% (63.7% of making the Divisional Round)

Winning the division percentage: 49.7%

Simulated Final Standings Finish: 1st Place

Projected Final AL Central Standings (As of May 8th)

  1. Chicago White Sox: 89-73
  2. Cleveland Indians: 88-74
  3. Detroit Tigers: 80-82
  4. Kansas City Royals: 77-85
  5. Minnesota Twins: 71-91

Fangraphs

Simulated W-L Final Record: 86-76

Play-off percentage: 62.6%

Winning the division percentage: 49.9% EDITED: 38.7%. White Sox have a 49.9% divisionial round.

Simulated Final Standings Finish: 2nd Place, Wild Card 1

Projected Final AL Central Standings (As of May 8th)

  1. Cleveland Indians: 87-75
  2. Chicago White Sox: 86-76
  3. Detroit Tigers: 81-81
  4. Kansas City Royals: 79-83
  5. Minnesota Twins: 71-91

FiveThirtyEight

Simulated W-L Final Record: 91-71

Play-off percentage: 71%

Winning the division percentage: 50%

Simulated Final Standings Finish: 1st Place

Final AL Central Standings (As of May 8th)

  1. Chicago White Sox: 91-71
  2. Cleveland Indians: 86-76
  3. Kansas City Royals: 80-82
  4. Detroit Tigers: 77-85
  5. Minnesota Twins: 71-91

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