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After Saturday's 7-2 win against the Minnesota Twins, Chicago's play-off odds are looking quite favorable. With the best record in the American League at 21-10, three projection models (PECOTA, Fangraphs, FiveThirtyEight) are seeing postseason baseball coming to the South Side.
PECOTA (Baseball Prospectus)
Simulated W-L Final Record: 89-73
Play-off percentage: 77.6% (63.7% of making the Divisional Round)
Winning the division percentage: 49.7%
Simulated Final Standings Finish: 1st Place
Projected Final AL Central Standings (As of May 8th)
- Chicago White Sox: 89-73
- Cleveland Indians: 88-74
- Detroit Tigers: 80-82
- Kansas City Royals: 77-85
- Minnesota Twins: 71-91
Fangraphs
Simulated W-L Final Record: 86-76
Play-off percentage: 62.6%
Winning the division percentage: 49.9% EDITED: 38.7%. White Sox have a 49.9% divisionial round.
Simulated Final Standings Finish: 2nd Place, Wild Card 1
Projected Final AL Central Standings (As of May 8th)
- Cleveland Indians: 87-75
- Chicago White Sox: 86-76
- Detroit Tigers: 81-81
- Kansas City Royals: 79-83
- Minnesota Twins: 71-91
FiveThirtyEight
Simulated W-L Final Record: 91-71
Play-off percentage: 71%
Winning the division percentage: 50%
Simulated Final Standings Finish: 1st Place
Final AL Central Standings (As of May 8th)
- Chicago White Sox: 91-71
- Cleveland Indians: 86-76
- Kansas City Royals: 80-82
- Detroit Tigers: 77-85
- Minnesota Twins: 71-91