clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Six Pack of Stats: Astros 3, Phillies 2 (World Series Game 5)

Philadelphia’s eighth-inning rally died, putting Houston up in the Series three games to two

The Astros held onto the win expectancy battle from the third inning onward, with the Phillies cutting it down to 51% after Jean Segura’s eighth-inning RBI single to trim Houston’s lead to one run.

The Houston Astros defeated the Philadelphia Phillies, 3-2, at Citizens Bank Park in Game 5.

Houston can clinch its second World Series with a win in Game 6.

The Starters

Ben’s brother started for the Astros, going five innings and giving up an earned run from a solo homer.

Verlander used a four-pitch arsenal (kind of) in his 94-pitch outing, using his 4-seamer 53 times. He gained velo on every pitch he threw more than once, and gained spin on everything except his fastball. Verlander had a 43% CSW rate on his slider.

Here’s how Game 5 looked for the 2019 AL Cy Young winner:

Baseball Savant

Noah Syndergaard started for the Phillies, taking the loss after giving up two earned in three innings.

Thor used a five-pitch arsenal in his start, gaining velocity on four of the five, including a 2.3 mph increase on his slider.

Syndergaard’s short start looked like this:

Baseball Savant

Pressure Play

With runners on the corners, one out in the bottom of the eighth and the Phillies trailing by one, Brandon Marsh struck out swinging.

The K had a game-high 5.19 LI, narrowly beating Kyle Schwarber’s 5.14 LI ground out in the following at-bat.

Pressure Cooker

Ryan Pressly totaled 3.62 pLI in his five-out save.

Pressly has yet to give up an earned run this postseason.

Top Play

With two on, one out in the bottom of the eighth with a 3-1 Astros lead, Phillies second baseman Jean Segura lined a single to right to move Philadelphia within a run.

The RBI single added .239 WPA for Philly.

Top Performer

Pressly finished the night with .527 WPA, well-above Verlander’s second-best .183 WPA.


Luckiest hit: José Altuve buzzed a 77.9 mph, .090 xBA single to second base in the top of the sixth.

Toughest out: Nick Castellanos lined out on a 105 mph, .770 xBA screamer to short in the bottom of the third.

Hardest hit: White Sox legend-that-could-have-been Bryce Harper barreled a 115.3 mph double in the bottom of the fifth.

Weakest contact: Martín Maldonado singled to right on a 59.9 mph floater in the ninth.

Longest hit: Altuve led off the game with a 399-foot double. No baseball traveled further tonight.

Magic Number: 1

The Astros take the series back home one win away from a second championship.



Hard-hit is any ball off the bat at 95 mph or more
LI measures pressure per play
pLI measures total pressure faced in-game
Whiff a swing-and-miss
WPA win probability added measures contributions to the win
xBA expected batting average