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Six Pack of Stats: Orioles 4, White Sox 3 (11 innings)

Baltimore held on for the walk-off series finale win after tying the game in the ninth

The win expectancy graph fluctuated after the eighth inning, with the Orioles holding on for the walk-off win in extras.

The Baltimore Orioles triumphed over the Chicago White Sox, 4-3, in an 11-inning affair at Camden Yards.

The O’s advance to 65-59, 2 12 games out of an AL wild card. The Pale Hose fall to 63-62, five games out of a wild-card spot.

The Starters

Lance Lynn made his 14th start of the season for the White Sox, giving up an earned run over six innings on three hits and a walk while striking out eight.

Lynn used a six-pitch arsenal, throwing his 4-seamer 40 times. He had a 37% CSW rate from his sinker, bringing about six called strikes and five whiffs. Lynn saw growth in spin rate on all six pitches.

Here are the number’s behind Lynn’s quality start:

Baseball Savant

The Orioles got seven innings of one-earned-run ball from starter Jordan Lyles, who allowed nine hits while striking out two Sox.

Lyles used a six-pitch set in his 26th start of the year, using his slider and 4-seamer a combined 60 times. He set up the most strikes with his sinker, getting two whiffs and seven called strikes for a 47% CSW rate.

Lyles’ 95-pitch outing looked like this:

Baseball Savant

Pressure Play

With two on, one out in the bottom of the 10th, Orioles shortstop Jorge Mateo flied out to center.

The at bat had a 4.32 LI, immediately followed by a 4.31 LI fielder’s choice from center fielder Cedric Mullins.

Pressure Cooker

White Sox reliever Joe Kelly had 3.40 pLI on the game, pitching a scoreless 10th.

Top Play

With the bases empty, two out in the bottom of the ninth with the White Sox ahead 3-2, Orioles rookie Kyle Stowers hit his first career homer to tie the game.

The long ball added .490 WPA for the Orioles.

Top Performer

Orioles reliever Félix Bautista added .608 WPA for Baltimore, going perfect in extras.


Luckiest hit: José Abreu gave the Sox the lead in the top of the eighth with his .170 xBA single to left.

Toughest out: Stowers was hitless before his game-tying homer, including his 95.8 mph, .680 xBA line out in the fourth.

Hardest hit: White Sox center fielder Luis Robert hammered a 107.8 mph ground ball into a double play in the top of the first. And as long as he’s doing that, Tony La Russa says he won’t rest him. Sigh.

Weakest contact: White Sox left fielder Andrew Vaughn hit a 41.7 mph ground out in the top of the eighth.

Longest hit: Stowers’ homer traveled 404 feet into the Oriole Park seats.

Magic Number: 2

Andrew Vaughn barreled both his hits (home run, double) in the 4-3 loss.

Vaughn has nine barrels in the month of August.


Hard-hit is any ball off the bat at 95 mph or more
LI measures pressure per play
pLId measures total pressure faced in-game
Whiff a swing-and-miss
WPA win probability added measures contributions to the win
xBA expected batting average


Who was the White Sox MVP in the 4-3 loss to the Orioles?

This poll is closed

  • 11%
    Joe Kelly: 1.0 IP, 0 ER, H, .304 WPA
    (3 votes)
  • 0%
    Jimmy Lambert (H): 1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, .135 WPA
    (0 votes)
  • 37%
    Andrew Vaughn: 2-for-4, solo home run, .086 WPA
    (10 votes)
  • 0%
    Reynaldo López: 1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, .084 WPA
    (0 votes)
  • 14%
    Gavin Sheets: 3-for-5, R, 2 K, .062 WPA
    (4 votes)
  • 37%
    Lance Lynn: 6.0 IP, ER, 3 H, HR, BB, 8 K, .043 WPA
    (10 votes)
27 votes total Vote Now


Who was the White Sox Cold Cat in the 4-3 loss to the Orioles?

This poll is closed

  • 28%
    Liam Hendriks (BS): 1.0 IP, game-tying solo home run, -.314 WPA
    (9 votes)
  • 0%
    Seby Zavala: 0-for-4, -.263 WPA
    (0 votes)
  • 3%
    Jake Diekman (L): 0.0 IP, 2 H, -.196 WPA
    (1 vote)
  • 68%
    Adam Engel: 0-for-1, -.081 WPA
    (22 votes)
32 votes total Vote Now